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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
July 16 - 2018
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2018 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :

        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese      

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Note : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.

Review and Preview :

U.S. consumer prices barely rose in June, but the underlying trend continued to point to a steady buildup of inflation pressures that could keep the Federal Reserve on a path of gradual interest rate increases. The Labor Department said on Thursday its Consumer Price Index edged up 0.1 percent as gasoline price increases moderated and apparel prices fell. The CPI rose 0.2 percent in May. In the 12 months through June, the CPI increased 2.9 percent, the biggest gain since February 2012, after advancing 2.8 percent in May. - Reuters, July 12, 2018.

The costs of US President Trump's earlier taxes on US consumers are starting to come through. Yesterday's consumer price data showed a surge in US washing machine prices. Prices were falling 7.6% y/y in February, and were reported up 13.1% yesterday. - Paul Donovan, "U.S. Consumers Are Paying the Price of Trade Taxes", July 13, 2018, www.ubs.com/pauldonovan.

Last week witnessed a solar eclipse in opposition to Pluto (July 12-13), and the end of two consecutive grand trines stretching from July 5-14. These two geocosmic events are very contrary to one another. To some, it may seem like we are living in two parallel universes, and not sure which one is real.

The solar eclipse/Pluto may seem like a very dark reality where our lives are completely manipulated by powers or events outside of our control. The grand trines, especially the one activating the Jupiter/Neptune trine in water signs, may seem like a love fest between those who are working towards the same ideal of something like a heaven on earth.

On Thursday, the eclipse/Pluto theme was in full view as news stories reported great discord in a meeting between members of NATO nations, reacting angrily to President Trump's confrontational style exhorting them to pony up more monies for their nation's defense, and not to rely so much on the USA any longer. In the process, and via other newspaper interviews in the U.K., his comments were portrayed as insulting to both German Chancellor Angela Merkel and his hostess, British Prime Minister Teresa May. By the next day, Friday, the other universe took over, as Trump proclaimed the NATO meetings were a tremendous success, everyone was on the same page, and that his words were quoted inaccurately about Merkel and May, who he praised as outstanding leaders that he gets along with very well. He then returned to his familiar theme of the "fake news" press, which is another increasingly great concern as transiting Pluto heads towards the opposition of the USA natal Mercury in a couple of years. Mercury represents a nation's media outlets, the source for news on current events and analysis. Transiting Pluto can represent an effort to shut it down, if not careful. But that is a story for another column.

Nevertheless (or maybe because of these events), many equity markets of the world fared well under these geocosmic signatures, including the U.S. Nasdaq Composite, which soared to another new all-time high. The first of these grand trines involved the Sun to Jupiter and Neptune, July 5-8, followed by Jupiter turning direct on July 10. When Jupiter transits are highlighted, it is often very favorable for equity markets, and it was this time too. Some indices, such as in China and Japan, ended their recent declines right on July 5 as the first trine began. Almost all indices continued their impressive rallies right into the end of last week.

Not surprisingly, however, the Jupiter influence was not as positive for precious metals. Gold fell to $1234 on Friday, its lowest level since July 2017, and below its 11-month cycle low of December 2017. Silver also fell to its lowest level of 2018, but stayed above its low of December 2017, which is the first step to exhibiting a case of intermarket bullish divergence. Now we wait to see how it performs as heliocentric Mercury renters Sagittarius these next 12 days. In more cases than not, this is a bullish time for Gold. But in about 20% of historical cases, it is very bearish instead. Bitcoin appears to have ended it's nearly 20% rally over the past two weeks, and ended the week back to the low 6000's.

Short-Term Geocosmics :

The solar eclipse (new moon) and the two grand trines now end as of July 14. Now what ?.

As discussed in last week's column, ".the cosmic dynamics begin to change. The Sun will head towards a T-square with Mars and Uranus, July 25-August 1, followed by Uranus changing directions on August 7. All this is taking place during the next Mercury retrograde cycle too (July 25-August 19)". The disparity between the parallel universes of reality of some world leaders and others will likely be even more apparent as we transition from a new moon solar eclipse to an even more potent full moon lunar eclipse on July 27. That lunar eclipse will conjunct Mars retrograde in Aquarius and form a fixed T-square with Uranus, which rules Aquarius. It also occurs one day after Mercury turns retrograde in Leo. Where to begin to try to understand this ?.

Let's start with Mars retrograde, June 26-August 27. Mars likes to start things. However, when it is retrograde, and especially as it is about to leave one sign (Aquarius) for another (Capricorn), it is not often afforded the luxury of pursuing the path it started. Things change. People change their minds. With Mars, this may pertain to the recent efforts to denuclearize North Korea, which said at first it agreed with everything Trump asked for (or so the president implied), and then last week changed its course.

What makes this period of late July and early August potentially more dangerous is that Mars retrograde is square Uranus. These are two volatile and possibly violent planets that are being ignited by the lunar eclipse on July 27, and only a few days before Uranus turns retrograde. As discussed before, Uranus is the element of surprise, of sudden reversals, both in terms of political (and maybe economic) policies, as well as reversals in financial markets. It is anything but stable and comforting. If you are looking for understanding and reassurance, this is not the time to expect emotional support. It is a time to refrain from the temptation to engage in sharp criticism of others, for you may get your head handed back to you. But the real danger lies in the actions of those who are mentally and emotionally unhinged. The slightest provocation, or perceived provocation, can lead to an unexpectedly volatile (even violent) reaction. This would be a time (August 1 +/- 1 week) to practice counting or ten or mediating and slowly breathing in and out to the count of... however high you can count on each breath. Those who can't or won't breathe deeply may instead encounter the opposite of peace : a racing heart that could lead to physical or mental pressures on the verge of exploding.

OK. So that is the danger being warned by the cosmic setup. How can this energy be channeled constructively ? Think outside the box. Look at the problems, the issues before you, and think of actions and reactions to solve these issues that you have not tried before. Break the pattern, the responses of habit that aren't working, and think of something new. It can be a time of invention and original thought.

Yes, I know, this is a market report and here I am giving psychological advice. Here is some advice for market traders. Expect wild price swings as unexpected events and sudden changes of mind and policies are announced. Understand that no support or resistance level is safe from being taken out (that may pertain to other mundane matters as well). Many markets may fall far harder, or rally far more spectacularly, than you imagined, July 25-August 9. And then they may reverse. Don't buy support, but rather wait to buy beneath support. Don't sell resistance but wait for exhaustion (and there will likely be plenty of exhaustion). Pay very close attention to strong movements and reversals in tech stocks and wheat prices. Weather and sudden events in nature or the electrical grid may cause havoc. There may be much electricity in the air, and tremendous chemistry (attraction) between people, but it may not all be safe or familiar. Go for safe and familiar if you are not sure.

Most of all, don't start unnecessary arguments (is there is such a thing ?), don't go crazy, and don't hang out with those who are crazy, for surely "crazy" will rule the day if you allow it. Shoot for brilliance and new discoveries through your own intellectual explorations. This can be a time of an awakening or a reckoning. Take your choice. After all, the eclipse of last week, in opposition to Pluto, fell on the same degrees in Capricorn as the Uranus/Neptune conjunction in 1993. It takes on the energy of that time and that conjunction as well. You may remember : that was when the internet revolutionized the way we communicate with one another, the way we do business.

Longer-Term thoughts and Mundane astrology :

".

To be continued (next week).

Announcements :

             Note 1 : The webinar/workshop "Cosmic Cycles Are Forever",took place last week, June 22, in England. It went very well and the MP4 recording of this 4-hour webinar/workshop is now available. This 4-hour, MP4 recording of the webinar is an excellent way to learn basic and even some more advanced methods of cycles analysis working with geocosmic studies.Sponsored by the AAGB (Astrological Association of Great Britain) as part of their 60 th anniversary, this workshop by Raymond Merriman features valuable tools for understanding market cycles, identifying trends, and timing changes of trends in financial markets using cycle studies and geocosmic studies along with technical tools and charting analysis. In this masterclass, the historical correlation of stock markets, currencies, precious metals and bitcoin to certain planetary and solar/lunar cycles present in today's cosmos are examined, with an eye on what to anticipate between 2018 and 2020, both in terms of world politics and financial markets, as well as shorter-term forecasting projections. The cost of the live webinar/workshop is $125 . To order a recording of the event from MMA, email customerservice@mmacycles.com, or call 1-248-626-3034. Or Visit www.mmacycles.com and click the banner on the opening page for purchase.

             Note 2 : We are pleased to announce that the recordings of Course 2 on MMA's Market Timing Methodology, taught to students in Beijing, China, begins now. The first class in Course two is on "Calculating Price Targets and Identifying Basic Chart Patterns when Geocosmic Reversals Are Due". This class focuses on long-term market timing methods of MMA and is taught by MMTA graduate and market analyst Kat Powell. Future classes in Course 2 will be taught once a month by Raymond Merriman, and MMTA graduates and professional market analysts Kat Powell (USA), Ulric Aspegren (Switzerland), Nitin Bhandari (India), and Ken Liao (China). The classes in both courses are given in English with Chinese translation. The cost for each course is $995 (this is a savings of over $1000 from the cost of Course 1 and 2 in MMTA). The cost includes the text of each class (in English), the webinar recordings (in English and Chinese), as well as the power point slides (in English). Classes may also be purchased individually at $145/each. For more information, go to https://mmacycles.com/moodle/course/index.php?categoryid=3 , or visit www.mmacycles.com > Education, or, click the banner with Chinese characters that come up on the opening screen of the MMA web site. This is, without a doubt, the most comprehensive, effective, and valuable way to learn the art and science of Market Timing (the MMA way, the leader in market timing products and services, and now, education as well). Call 248-626-3034, or email MMA at customerservice@mmacycles.com for further information, and Get Ready for Course 2, which begins now.

             Note 3 : I have just written an article for Trader World magazine on "The 4-Year Stock Market Cycle". Please visit https://tradersworld.com/issue70.pdf to find out more.

             Note 4 : NEW!!! The MMA Weekly Indian Stock Market by MMTA graduate and market analyst Nitin Bhandari has begun. This report focuses exclusively on the Indian stock market (Nifty cash). Each report will come out on the weekend, prior to the Monday opening of markets. The cost for the weekly Indian Nifty stock index report is $825/year, or $275/three months.  Sign up now at www.mmacycles.com > SERVICES > SUBSCRIPTION SERVICES and take advantage of this new special report by an expert in Indian markets, Nitin Bhandari!.

             The EBook of Forecast 2018 and the print editions of Forecast 2018 are now completed and sent out to all who have pre-ordered! EBooks have been received, and print editions should be received in the next week - before Christmas. If not, call us. We have also received the printed copies on Friday, so we can now fill new orders with remaining copies. Order now and get your copy. It is relevant right now !.

             The third edition of The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing, Volume 1 : Cycles and Patterns in the Indexes is now out as of Friday, September 8! This is the most comprehensive book ever published on the cycles of the stock market (DJIA and Nikkei), with analysis going back to the British stock markets of the 17 th century. This is a must-have book if you are a serious investor, trader, or student of cycles. There is nothing else like this book available today. The cost of this book is $125. There is also a special $25 discount for those who also pre-order the Forecast 2018 Book . Call us to get this rate. The new material and tables on long-and intermediate-term cycles in the U.S. and Japanese stock markets are worth the cost of the book alone. For more information, go to visit the MMA website at www.mmacycles.com, or here and check it out. You can also order now by e-mail to ordersmma@msn.com or calling 1-800-662-3349, or 248-626-3034". The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing : Cycles and Patterns in the Index" is literally the ultimate book on the analysis of the stock market. We are especially impressed with various waves of long-term cycles for more than 200 years, which we have never seen : T. Kaburagi, Toshi Nippou Ltd (Japan's major commodity newspaper).

             Our monthly MMA Cycles : The monthly edition of the MMA International Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports went out last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
Two-issue trial subscriptions are available for this service for $55.00, which includes the current issue and the next month's as well.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $55.00.

             MMA's annual Forecast Book : MMA's annual Forecasts Book, written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is one of the most unique, affordable, and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecast book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Specific markets analyzed for the next year(s) include: T-Notes and interest rates, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Gold, Silver, Currencies (U.S. Dollar, Euro, Yen, Swiss Franc, and British Pound), Crude Oil, Grains and Weather. Each market contains the important geocosmic three-star critical reversal dates for 2018. Special sections also include the USA and world economy, the USA and world politics, the USA and its President. A 2018 ephemeris and calendar (one month per page) with geocosmic signatures is included, as well as descriptions of the Mercury, Venus, and Mars retrograde periods for 2018. This is a book with an impressive background for insightful accuracy into world economic and financial market conditions that you will not want to miss! For further information, go to www.mmacycles.com and click the banner.

For more information, visit www.mmacycles.com or call 1-800-662-3349 or 1-248-626-3034.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2018 will also available in these languages:
Dutch : at www.markettiming.nl
German : at http://www.mma-europe.ch
Japanese : at http://merriman.jp

             MMA's weekly and daily subscription reports have been extremely accurate and profitable lately, catching the lows in metals, stocks, crude oil, soybeans, and currencies. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes",You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like it". Well, when everything lines up just right...

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers : I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000. Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

Upcoming Events :

             July 12-15, 2018 : GLAC (Great Lakes Astrology Conference), Ann Arbor, MI. I will be there, conducting a special pre-conference workshop on "Mundane Astrology and The Great Reset" on July 12, 10:30 AM - 1 PM. Plus, "Basic Principles of Financial Astrology", on Saturday, 11:15 AM. I will present the Keynote speech on "The Current State of Astrology - and Why the USA is Falling Behind" on Friday evening. For more info, contact glac@greatlakesastrology.com, or call 734-434-0804. And remember: Ann Arbor is one of America's most beautiful cities and the University of Michigan (located there) is one of the world's most beautiful college campuses. This will, be another wonderful gathering

             January 2019 : TBD. Zurich, Switzerland lecture and workshop on "Forecast 2019".

             February 9, 2019 : "Forecast 2019", by Raymond Merriman Phoenix, AZ (TBD)

             June 8-16, 2019 : "Geocosmic Correlations to Trading Cycles", Beijing, China. A two-weekend intensive Market Trading workshop/retreat with Raymond Merriman. This 32-hour class intensive workshop will focus on the primary cycle and its phases - the half-primary, major, and trading cycles - and how to determine when they are due. Then, we will identify geocosmic signatures - Levels 1, 2, and 3 - as the basis for calculating CRDs (Critical Reversal Dates), to narrow the time band down for an important cycle reversal. Within that time, we will identify and discuss specific technical and charting tools that will further enhance the timing of a major market reversal, and the price target range to look for. In this analysis, we will also explore the use of 60- 30-, and 5-minutes charts for even more accurate entry and exit points. With these tools, we will then construct a daily and/or weekly trading plan, as used in MMA Daily and Weekly Reports, using current market situations. The workshop will take place on the weekends of June 8-9 and June 15-16. During the week, participants will have the option of taking tours with other MMA students to exciting areas of China. The cost for this unique and valuable trading retreat is $4000 (discounts will be available to subscribers of MMA Reports). For further information, please contact MMA at customerservice@mmacycles.com or call 1-248-626-3034 or 1-800-MMA-3349.

             The MMA Catalogue of products and services for 2015 is now out!!! You can download it in PDF. The ordering page is the last page of the catalogue. This is especially useful for those outside of the USA, since we do not mail these out by mail unless requested.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "Save Our Swiss Gold" Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book :Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

             The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader , is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when" to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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