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The best market timing for Silver

September 16 - 2019
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2019 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :

        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese      

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Note : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.

Review and Preview :

The U.S. budget deficit has topped $1 trillion for the first time in seven years, the Treasury Department said Thursday. The federal government's budget deficit rose by $200 billion in August to $1.067 trillion. It's up 19 percent, or $169 billion, from the October to August period of last year. The national debt now stands at $22.5 trillion, up 13 percent since Trump took office in January 2017. - Jonathan Garber, "U.S. Budget Deficit Tops $1 Trillion", , September 12, 2019.

The ECB announced a new quantitative easing program Thursday which will see 20 billion euros ($21.9 billion) per month of net asset purchases for as long as the central bank deems necessary. It also cut the rate on its main deposit facility by 10 basis points to -0.5%, a new record low, and introduced tiering measures to mitigate damage to banks' balance sheets. - Elliot Smith, "European Stocks Close Higher After Aggressive ECB Stimulus", , September 12, 2019.

World equity markets surged again last week, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average reaching 27,306 on Thursday, September 12, less than 100 points off its all-time high of 27,398 recorded on July 16. The cause? The perception of a continuing thaw in the trade dispute between the U.S. and China, plus the aggressive actions by central banks to lower interest rates. Last week, the European Central Bank led the way, embarking upon another major stimulus effort, dropping their main deposit rate to a negative -.5% and starting another major quantitative easing policy. And yet, in spite of all this interest rate easing around the world, the U.S. treasury markets fell hard. Something is not right when interest rates go down, and treasury values also go down. They are supposed to be inversely related to one another.

What is going on behind the scenes? We don't really know, because we are in the throes of the last of three passages of the Jupiter/Neptune waning square (taking place next week on September 21), combined with the Sun, Mercury, Venus, and Mars all forming a T-square to Jupiter/Neptune. It is like being in a fog. As stated many times in this column lately, you cannot believe what you will see, hear or read. All of these actions and activities have the effect of creating a sense of euphoria and optimism, with many analysts now proclaiming this rally will last through the end of this year. Yet, with Jupiter square Neptune, the symbology is one of false hopes and wishes, irrational exuberance, followed by disillusionment and disappointment, when those hopes and wishes fail to materialize. Or, in the event they do materialize, they may turn out to be very different from the way they were described to the public.

Once again, the study of Financial Astrology suggests you cannot believe what you read, hear, or see. It is fine to have a positive attitude, but it may become a serious problem when the message of optimism is actually more manipulative (to drive the markets up, perhaps) than real or accurate. Jupiter square Neptune can be that kind of message, and it is why we referred to 2019 as "The Year of the Setup" in our Forecast 2019 Book . After December 2, 2019, Jupiter will join Saturn and Pluto in Capricorn, creating what is known as the "Capricorn Stellium". History shows a correlation with markets rising to a long-term cycle crest when Jupiter is in Sagittarius (November 2018-December 2019), and then falling to along term cycle low when it transits Capricorn through Pisces (2020-2022). The correlation is not 100%, but the frequency of this occurring is well above the norm, and we pay attention to probabilities like this.

As stocks continued to soar last week, other markets fell, like Treasuries, precious metals, and Crude Oil. Even Bitcoin fell below $10,000 in the past two weeks before starting to recover by the end of last week. But the bigger story was with the stock market, especially in the U.S. where the indices are nearing their all-time highs. Or was it? The declines in treasuries and metals are quickly becoming big stories too.

Short-Term Geocosmics and longer term thoughts :

The average rate on the 30-year fixed is now 20 basis points higher than it was on Monday and 36 basis points higher than its last low on Sept. 4, according to Mortgage News Daily. That is the biggest short-term jump since the week following the election of President Donald Trump. - Diana Olick, "This Was the Worst Week for Mortgage Rates in 3 Years - And It May Be Just the Beginning", , September 13, 2019.

Last week's column described a time of several contradictory geocosmic signatures now in effect through September 21. As stated last week, "With both the Sun and Mars forming a square to Jupiter this week, and Jupiter symbolizing exaggeration, we could see very strong price moves either way. If "irrational exuberance" dominates, the direction will continue to be up. But if the Saturn stationary direct of September 18 starts to dominate, the mood could quickly shift to hysteria and panic, which is the other side of Jupiter and Neptune when reality strikes, and hopes and wishes turn to disillusionment and disappointment". So far, it is irrational exuberance that is prevailing in equities as we barrel ahead towards September 18-21, when Saturn turns stationary direct (forming a T-square to the U.S. Sun/Saturn natal square) and the third and final passage of the Jupiter/Neptune square occurs. But the mood may be more akin to hysteria and panic that may be starting to unfold in treasuries and metals, which is the other side of Jupiter and Neptune.

There are other interesting geocosmic signatures occurring this week. On Saturday, September 14, both Mercury and Venus will enter Libra, the sign that Venus rules. Usually that is bullish for stocks and bearish for metals. This will last until October 3 in the case of Mercury and October 8 for Venus. Stocks don't usually rally for the entire period, nor do metals fall for the entire period. They make important reversals from their highs and lows respectively within that period.

Psychologically, Mercury and Venus in Libra would normally correlate with a period of agreements, so there is hope that the U.S. and China will forge a trade agreement. But Jupiter in Sagittarius, square Neptune in Pisces, warns about getting too optimistic about that. More than likely there will be talk, but no agreement, or perhaps an agreement that is not what investors had expected. By September 25-30, Venus makes a square to both Saturn and Pluto in Capricorn. That has the look of an agreement falling apart.

Overlapping this period, we have our new "TMI" market indicator now in force. In modern slang, this stands for "Too Much Information". But here we give it a slightly different meaning : the "Trump Mars Indicator". This indicator is in effect when transiting Mars makes a hard aspect to the chart of President Trump : times when we observe that he tends to become easily agitated and takes to launching twitter missiles against the Fed, China, or anyone else who disturbs him during those moments. This often causes markets to suffer a crushing selloff. This TMI indicator is now in effect September 12-22, as the transit of Mars in Virgo makes a T-square to President Trump's natal Sun/Uranus in Gemini, which is in opposition to his natal Moon in Sagittarius (he was born under a lunar eclipse). Let's see if it happens again in the next ten days.

Technically and chart-wise, everything looks great for equities now. But geocosmics are flashing a stern warning that an explosion or flood may suddenly strike. And the U.S. treasury market - a market much larger than stocks ­- is a bit insane, which could end up being even more of a problem if certain funds or governments are involved in a large and persistent selling operations.

Longer-Term thoughts and opinions :


To be continued (next week).

Announcements :

             Note 1 : The pre-order sale for Forecast 2020 is underway as of August 12! This once-a-year sale includes discounts on both the annual Forecast Book and MMA subscription report and will be in effect through October 31. You may pre-order Forecast 2020 now at the discounted rate of $45. After our sale ends, the price will increase to $55 on November 1 st . Order both an eBook and print book (Forecast 2020 Bundle) for only $65, a savings of $45 off the standard rates. Save 10% off any subscription ($275+) with purchase of Forecast 2020. Use code SALE2020 at checkout to receive the subscription discount.

             Note 2 : MMA's 2019 Scorecard (from Forecast 2019 Book) as of August 10, 2019, is now available for viewing! See how we did HERE on our Website.

             Note 3 : The MMA CYCLES 2020 VISION WEBINAR SERIES is over, but the MP4 recordings are now available. This live 2-hour webinar, sub-titled, " RE-FOCUS YOUR INVESTMENT STRATEGIES : ALL CYCLES LEAD TO 2020" was led by MMA Analyst Kat Powell. It featured an in-depth look at longer-term cycles, trend patterns, and price targets for Silver and Soybeans, with additional insights provided on the U.S. stock market and Federal Reserve Board chart. Cost for the MP4 recording is $45.00 and includes PDF charts. Order now while it is fresh!.

             Our monthly MMA Cycles : The monthly edition of the MMA Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports will be issued this week, Monday and Tuesday, via posting on our web site, or attachment via direct emails, for subscribers.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
Two-issue trial subscriptions are available for this service for $55.00, which includes the current issue and the next month's as well.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $55.00.

             MMA's annual Forecast Book : The Forecast 2019 Book is done and nearly sold out. The orders received as of January 4 have been shipped out. As of the close of business that day, less than 25 books remain. When those remaining copies are sold out, they are gone. There will be no second printing. At that point, the only way to read Forecast 2019 will be through the eBook, which is available now for delivery to your inbox! ORDER NOW, if you have not done so already, and make sure you receive your copy of Forecast 2019 before they sell out. For more information on this annual best seller, go to => Products => Forecast 2019.You may also email MMA at, or call 1-248-626-3034, 1-800-662-3349.

MMA's annual Forecasts Book , written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is one of the most unique, affordable, and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecast book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Specific markets analyzed for the next year(s) include : T-Notes and interest rates, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Gold, Silver, Currencies (U.S. Dollar, Euro, Yen, Swiss Franc, and British Pound), Crude Oil, Grains and Weather. Each market contains the important geocosmic three-star critical reversal dates for 2018. Special sections also include the USA and world economy, the USA and world politics, the USA and its President. A 2019 ephemeris and calendar (one month per page) with geocosmic signatures is included, as well as descriptions of the Mercury retrograde periods for 2019. This is a book with an impressive background for insightful accuracy into world economic and financial market conditions that you will not want to miss! For further information, go to and click the banner.

For more information, visit or call 1-800-662-3349 or 1-248-626-3034.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2019 will also available in these languages :
Dutch : at
German : at
Japanese : at
Chinese :

             MMA's weekly and daily subscription reports have been extremely accurate and profitable lately, catching the lows in metals, stocks, crude oil, soybeans, and currencies. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes",You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like it". Well, when everything lines up just right...

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers : I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000. Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

Upcoming Events :

             September 15, 2019 : Ray Merriman presents "How Astrology Got it Right With the 2016 USA Presidential Election (but the Astrologers Missed It)" starting at 3 PM EDT. This 90-minute webinar will be free to all members of ISAR - the International Society for Astrological Research. Or $9.99 if not a member. It's a great deal! To join ISAR and/or see this live webinar, go to, and click MEMBERSHIP. This webinar will go over some relevant modern-day charts that depicted Hillary Clinton's advantage with the popular vote, but Donald's Trump's ultimate victory with the Electoral College vote. And what do these studies say about the 2020 election? You ay click this link to register :

             February 8, 2020 : MMA'S FORECAST 2019 LIVE WEBINAR will take place on Saturday, February 8, 2020. In the comfort of your own home or office, you can tune into Raymond Merriman's annual worldwide Forecast 2020 Webinar . This broadcast will address subjects from next year's Forecast 2020 Book, with updates on financial markets since the book was written in November 2019. Outlooks for the U.S. stock market, Gold and Silver, crude oil, and currencies will be discussed. Cost is $55.00, and includes the slides of the presentation, plus a downloadable MP4 recording of the event. If unable to attend live, you can still sign up, as everyone who orders the Webinar will receive the MP4 recording, following the live event.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through

             It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( He was also the person who initiated the "Save Our Swiss Gold"Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

             The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader , is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when"to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.

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