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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
January 14 - 2019
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2019 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :

        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese      

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Note : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.

Review and Preview :

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is concerned about the ballooning amount of United States debt. "I'm very worried about it", Powell said at The Economic Club of Washington, D.C. The Fed chief's comments came as the annual U.S. deficit reaches new sustained highs above $1 trillion, a fact many economists worry could spell trouble for future generations. Annual deficits have topped $1 trillion before, but never during a time of sustained economic growth like now, raising concern about what would happen if a recession hits... Total U.S. debt is about $21.9 trillion. Fitch Ratings - one of the top credit rating agencies that analyzes companies and governments alike - said Wednesday that the ongoing government shutdown could soon start to impact its ability to pass a budget and could impact the government's triple-A sovereign score. - Thomas Frank, "Fed Chairman Powell "Very Worried" About Growing Amount of U.S. Debt", https://www.cnbc.com, January 10, 2019.

British lawmakers are set to vote on Prime Minister Theresa May 's much-maligned Brexit deal on Tuesday (January 15), with less than three months to go before the U.K. is set to leave the European Union. Remarkably, May's template to exit the bloc faces virtually certain defeat. That leaves the prospect of a complete collapse of government, a disorderly exit from the bloc or even the entire Brexit process being scrapped altogether over the coming weeks.. Westminster must now either accept the government's plans for a structured exit and relatively close economic ties with the EU or reject it and spawn massive uncertainty over the country's next steps. - Sam Meredith, "A Crunch Brexit Vote is Coming That Could Trigger Even More Political Chaos, https://www.cnbc.com, January 11, 2019.

All the wild swings experienced in December and early January seemed to pause as global stock markets rose steadily for most of last week. This may be related to the approaching first passage of Jupiter square Neptune this weekend, January 13. Unlike Uranus, which is wild and has been extremely strong through January 9, the influence of Neptune is more like floating on a raft on a sunny day in a calm lake with no wind and no worries. It's passive, which to a trader, is akin to being complacent. And therein lies the danger as we head into more Uranus aspects, without the benefit of much Neptune, later this forthcoming week. If there is no real "bad" news or disturbing tweets suddenly launched, investors are apt to find reasons to invest, supporting gradually rising equity prices. Stock markets around the world, were generally higher last week, with some (like the DJIA) now up over 10% since their lows of December 26. In the 12 trading sessions following that low, the DJIA has been up 9 days. And one of the days it was down was Friday, January 11, when it fell only five points. During this same 12 days, the DJIA rose over 2300 points from low to high. It is this type of market behavior that can lead to the complacency often associated with Neptune, which turns into vulnerability when disturbing news, ala Uranus, does hit the market. This is due again January 18-21, +/- three days.

Since one of the astrologer's creed is "As above, so below", it is not hard to find a fundamental explanation for both the mild waters last week and the pleasant, dreamlike qualities of an expansive Jupiter/Neptune. The vote on the Brexit deal didn't happen last week. It happens January 15, right in time for the next dose of Uranus. With Jupiter still very close to a square to Neptune, the investment world wonders if anyone really has a clue as to what the UK wants and what they are going to do. They might find out in the next week. Or, they might find out that they really don't have a clue as to what they really want, and instead of the vote clarifying the issue, it just becomes more and more muddled, which is kind of like the normal state of mind when Jupiter squares Neptune. It's a pleasant day on the raft in the lake when you have nothing to do, nothing taking place that can disturb you. But when you try to make something happen, it is more like falling off the raft and realizing you are now in quicksand. You are stuck and no one is helping. They are just watching and thinking : why did those people try to get off the boat there, in the mud, instead of steering to a safe shoreline for secure docking ?.

Of course, the same could be said about the recent attitude change taking place with the Federal Reserve Board too, as it decided it can now be "patient" with regard to any further rate hikes. And on that news, the U.S. Dollar fell, which gave support to currencies, crude oil, and precious metals. Crude oil rose to $53.31 on last week's high, an appreciation of over 25% from its low of $42.36 on December 24. What a difference a couple of weeks make. We might be saying that again in reverse in the next two weeks.

Short-Term Geocosmics and longer term thoughts :

There is another cosmic storm approaching on the horizon, literally and figuratively. On January 18, the Sun will square Uranus, followed by a lunar eclipse as the Sun enters Aquarius on January 20-21. Also, on January 21, Mars square Saturn, which is anything but a pleasant day on a raft in a peaceful lake. It is more like an attack of mosquitos biting into your sunburnt skin. Yet, this is also in the midst of Venus forming a conjunction with Jupiter, which is very nice, but in square to Neptune, January 20-22. One group of signatures suggests another market dive. The other suggests a sudden recovery. This might imply that the USA government shutdown reaches a climax and resolution then (January 18-25). The impasse is frustrating and drives the market down, but the resolution is sudden and welcomed, and drives the market higher. But keep in mind that everything is short-term here.

We have to keep our eyes focused on Jupiter in Sagittarius for most of this year. Even though it squares Neptune, which has the potential for market hysteria and panic, the history of this Jupiter in Sagittarius is more bullish than bearish, so it can also correlate with a market bubble. My guess is that we are entering a period much like early 2008. The stock market made an all-time high in October 2007, the previous time that Jupiter was in Sagittarius. Equity prices then came down hard in late January, and the Fed was forced to create more liquidity. After bottoming in late January, the Fed's serious monetary easing lifted the stock market back up into May 2008. Once again, the USA stock market topped out with a new all-time high in October 2018. It then had a serious fall into late December, almost three months long like October 2007-January 2008. Then, in the past few days, the Fed came in and started messaging monetary easing (or at least, it backed off from its somewhat aggressive rate-hiking direction), and the stock market started to recover nicely. Maybe December 26-27 was the 4-year cycle low, and this rally can continue for a few months while Jupiter is in Sagittarius, lulling everyone back into complacency believing the danger period has passed.

And then Wiley E Coyote comes to the "Edge of the Cliff" and has to decide whether to jump, or go back down and face the more important real wall ("Capricorn Stellium" of 2020) that is being built, which is a wall of debt.

Longer-Term thoughts and Geocosmics :

T.

To be continued (next week).

Announcements :

             Note 1 : February 9, 2019 : MMA'S FORECAST 2019 LIVE WEBINAR, will take place on Saturday, February 9, 2019 at 11:00 AM (MST). This is 1:00 PM EST, 6:00 PM GMT. In the comfort of your own home or office, you can tune into Raymond Merriman's annual worldwide webinar on Forecast 2019. This broadcast will address subjects from this year's Forecast 2019 Book, with updates on financial markets since the book was written in November 2018. Outlooks for the U.S. stock market, Gold and Silver, crude oil, and currencies (including Bitcoin) will be discussed. Cost is $45.00, and includes the slides of the presentation, plus a downloadable MP4 recording of the event. To reserve your spot in this live webinar broadcast, email us at customerservice@mmacycles.com, or call 1-248-626-3034, 1-800-662-3349.

             Note 2 : Two weeks ago I gave a 3+ hour workshop on Forecast for 2019 to our Chinese students that went very well. The focus was on understanding the psychology of the Jupiter/Neptune square in 2019, Uranus in Taurus, and how they correspond to financial markets and global political conditions, leading into the "Capricorn Stellium" (the "Edge of the Cliff") in 2020. These themes were also applied to the current economic conditions in China. Much attention was given to the cycles presently coming due in China's stock market (the Shanghai Stock Composite Index), as well as an outlook for Gold, Silver, and Bitcoin. An MP4 recording of that webinar is now available for $127, and includes 100+ power point slides. The event is given in English, with Chinese translation, but easy to understand. For information on purchasing this MMA recording, contact MMA at customerservice@mmacycles.com, or call us at 1-800-662-3349 or 1-248-626-3034.

             Note 3 : The best way to start your learning of cycles and geocosmic correlations to market cycles is with the MP4 recording on "Cosmic Cycles Are Forever". This workshop by Raymond Merriman features valuable tools for understanding market cycles, identifying trends, and timing changes of trends in financial markets using cycle studies and geocosmic studies along with technical tools and charting analysis. In this masterclass, the historical correlation of stock markets, currencies, precious metals and bitcoin to certain planetary and solar/lunar cycles present in today's cosmos are examined, with an eye on what to anticipate between 2018 and 2020, both in terms of world politics and financial markets, as well as shorter-term forecasting projections. The cost of the recording of this MP4 recording is $125. To order, please visit www.mmacycles.com and click the banner on the opening page. Or, you may email customerservice@mmacycles.com, or call 1-248-626-3034. .

             Our monthly MMA Cycles : The monthly edition of the MMA Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports went out last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
Two-issue trial subscriptions are available for this service for $55.00, which includes the current issue and the next month's as well.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $55.00.

             MMA's annual Forecast Book : The Forecast 2019 Book is done and nearly sold out. The orders received as of January 4 have been shipped out. As of the close of business that day, less than 25 books remain. When those remaining copies are sold out, they are gone. There will be no second printing. At that point, the only way to read Forecast 2019 will be through the eBook, which is available now for delivery to your inbox! ORDER NOW, if you have not done so already, and make sure you receive your copy of Forecast 2019 before they sell out. For more information on this annual best seller, go to https://mmacycles.com => Products => Forecast 2019.You may also email MMA at customerservice@mmacycles.com, or call 1-248-626-3034, 1-800-662-3349.

MMA's annual Forecasts Book , written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is one of the most unique, affordable, and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecast book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Specific markets analyzed for the next year(s) include: T-Notes and interest rates, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Gold, Silver, Currencies (U.S. Dollar, Euro, Yen, Swiss Franc, and British Pound), Crude Oil, Grains and Weather. Each market contains the important geocosmic three-star critical reversal dates for 2018. Special sections also include the USA and world economy, the USA and world politics, the USA and its President. A 2019 ephemeris and calendar (one month per page) with geocosmic signatures is included, as well as descriptions of the Mercury retrograde periods for 2019. This is a book with an impressive background for insightful accuracy into world economic and financial market conditions that you will not want to miss! For further information, go to https://www.mmacycles.com and click the banner.

For more information, visit www.mmacycles.com or call 1-800-662-3349 or 1-248-626-3034.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2019 will also available in these languages :
Dutch : at www.markettiming.nl
German : at http://www.mma-europe.ch
Japanese : at http://merriman.jp
Chinese : www.nodoor.com

             MMA's weekly and daily subscription reports have been extremely accurate and profitable lately, catching the lows in metals, stocks, crude oil, soybeans, and currencies. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes",You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like it". Well, when everything lines up just right...

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers : I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000. Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

Upcoming Events :

             J.

             January 19, 2019, Amsterdam, Netherlands, "Forecasts 2019", sponsored by Schogt Market Timing. This Congress will take place at the Hotel Breukelen outside of Amsterdam, and feature Karen Hammaker-Zondag. Antonia Langsdorf, Irma Schogt, and Raymond Merriman. For more information, please visit www.markettiming.nl or take the direct link https://goo.gl/VPxGSe for congress details.

             February 9, 2019 : MMA'S 2019 WORLDWIDE "FORECAST 2018" LIVE WEBINAR, will take place on Saturday, February 9, 2019, 11:00 AM (MST). This is 1:00 PM EST, 6:00 PM GMT. In the comfort of your own home or office, you can tune into Raymond Merriman's annual worldwide webinar on "Forecast 2018". This broadcast will address subjects from this year's Forecast 2019 Book, with updates on financial markets since the book was written in November 2018. Outlooks for the U.S. stock market, Gold and Silver, crude oil, and currencies will be discussed. Cost is $45.00, and includes the slides of the presentation, plus a downloadable MP4 recording of the event, within 72 hours afterwards. To reserve your spot in this live webinar broadcast, contact us directly at 1-248-626-3034, 800-MMA-3349, or email us at customerservice@mmacycles.com , or register via our website at https:// mmacycles.com > Products > Webinars. If unable to attend, you can pre-order MP4 recordings, which will be delivered as soon as they are available - within 72 hours after the live webinar.

             March 9, 2019 : 10:30 AM - 4 PM. Nova Southwestern University, 3301 College Ave, Carl DeSantis Bldg, Ft. Lauderdale, FL. An all-day workshop on "Forecast 2019", by Raymond Merriman. Contact 954-296-1211. $50.

             April 26, 2019 7 P.M. : Boulder, Colorado. "Forecasts for Financial Markets and USA Economy and Political climate : an evening with Ray Merriman. The location of this talk will be Room 9235 at the Naropa Nalanda Campus in Boulder, Colorado, 6287 Arapahoe Road, at the intersection of 63 rd and Arapahoe. The cost is $45 if registered before April 1, and $55 afterwards. Sponsored by ROMA, the Rocky Mountain Astrological Association. For registration, contact Patti Simmers at 720-989-8822, or via email at patti.simmers@comcast.net. Attendance will be limited to 80 persons. Sign up early.

             June 8-16, 2019 : "Geocosmic Correlations to Trading Cycles", Beijing, China. A two-weekend intensive Market Trading workshop/retreat with Raymond Merriman. This 32-hour class intensive workshop will focus on the primary cycle and its phases - the half-primary, major, and trading cycles - and how to determine when they are due. Then, we will identify geocosmic signatures - Levels 1, 2, and 3 - as the basis for calculating CRDs (Critical Reversal Dates), to narrow the time band down for an important cycle reversal. Within that time, we will identify and discuss specific technical and charting tools that will further enhance the timing of a major market reversal, and the price target range to look for. In this analysis, we will also explore the use of 60- 30-, and 5-minutes charts for even more accurate entry and exit points. With these tools, we will then construct a daily and/or weekly trading plan, as used in MMA Daily and Weekly Reports, using current market situations. The workshop will take place on the weekends of June 8-9 and June 15-16. During the week, participants will have the option of taking tours with other MMA students to exciting areas of China. The cost for this unique and valuable trading retreat is $4000 (discounts will be available to subscribers of MMA Reports). For further information, please contact MMA at customerservice@mmacycles.com or call 1-248-626-3034 or 1-800-MMA-3349.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "Save Our Swiss Gold" Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book :Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

             The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader , is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when" to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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