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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
May 10 - 2021
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2021 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :

ChineseChinese        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese      

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Note : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.

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Employers adding a measly 266,000 new jobs - sharply missing Wall Street's expectations - amid a growing shortage of available workers. The unemployment rate unexpectedly rose to 6.1% - while it's still well below the April 2020 peak of 14.7%, it's about twice the pre-crisis level, the Labor Department said in its monthly payroll report, released Friday morning. Economists surveyed by Refinitiv expected the report to show that unemployment fell to 5.8% and the economy added 978,000 jobs. - Kristen Altus, "US Labor Secretary on Why Americans Aren't Going Back to Work", www.foxbusiness.com/ , May 7, 2021.

In any event, a pullback in world equities didn't start last week, the first week of May- the first week of the month that investors love to chant, "Sell in May and go away". The only problem is that "selling in May and going away" for more than a month hasn't worked since 2015. It used to be that you could sell in May and return in October and not miss much. But that hasn't been the case for several years now. Maybe it will return this year because we have an intermediate-term market cycle that is due, which we will discuss at length in the monthly MMA Cycles Report that comes out this week, and the "Mid-Year Market Review" webinar that will take place May 22 (see "Announcements" below).

Instead, global stock indices were up last week, with several (but not all) reaching new all-time or new multi-year highs. It's this kind of gravity-defying behavior that inspires many new investors and traders to jump on board now with romantic thoughts (Neptune is still in Pisces) of becoming instantly wealthy. In modern day lingo, it's FOMO time - Fear of Missing Out. Between FOMO and FAANG (Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Netflix, and Google), one could easily suffer from a deadly KISS (Keeping It Simple Stupid) mentality. Navigating market investing or trading is anything but simple. Exciting, yes. But deadly pursuits can be exciting, until they become tragic. Ask any number of the recent GameStop victims.

Last week witnessed new all-time highs in several world equity markets, including the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), S&P, the Netherlands AEX, and the Australian ASX. Almost all world indices rallied, other than China's Shanghai Composite.

Gold and Silver had excellent weeks. Gold soared to 1844.60 on Friday, its highest price since mid-February. Similarly, Silver tested 28.00 on Friday for the first time since late February. But once again, the star performers were the grain markets. Corn, Wheat, and Soybeans all continued rallies to new multi-year highs, and in the case of Corn and Soybeans, they are nearing their all-time highs. Currencies were also strong last week as the Euro rallied to its highest level since February, while the U.S. Dollar fell to its lowest mark since the same time. Bitcoin stayed strong, testing 59,000 last week, still a little off its all-time high of 64,900 on April 14. But Ethereum, another popular cryptocurrency, surpassed 3600 on Friday for the first time.

Short-Term Geocosmics and longer-Term thoughts :

Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen conceded Tuesday that interest rates may have to rise to keep a lid on the burgeoning growth of the U.S. economy brought on in part by trillions of dollars in government stimulus spending. - Jeff Cox, "Treasury Secretary Yellen Says Rates May Have to Rise Somewhat to Keep Economy from Overheating", www.cnbc.com, May 4, 2021.

Rising asset prices in the stock market and elsewhere are posing increasing threats to the financial system, the Federal Reserve warned in a report Thursday. - Jeff Cox, "Fed Warns About Potential for 'Significant Declines' in Asset Prices as Valuations Climb", www.cnbc.com, May 6, 2021.

No one can say they weren't warned. Now, both Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and members of the Fed floated comments that rates may rise, and assets may soon have a significant decline. That's how it starts - with the central bank or a member of the administration dropping the idea as "just a possibility". It's coming, and everyone is now forewarned. But with Friday's unexpectedly weak jobs report, maybe that rate increase idea will be stalled for at least another month. Jupiter moving into Pisces this week would support that view. As it moves into Pisces, it will form a trine to Pluto, and a sextile to the Sun, in the founding chart of the Federal Reserve Board (December 23, 1913). These are considered "soft", or harmonious aspects, and when Jupiter is involved, the Fed tends to be accommodative, not restrictive.

In the study of astrology, we call the movement of a planet from one sign to the next an "ingress". Jupiter will ingress from Aquarius to Pisces this week, May 13-July 28. Ingresses correspond to a change of collective psychology regarding the principles of that planet and the signs involved. Jupiter's main principle is one of exaggeration, expansion, growth, and optimism. Aquarius is the sign of humanitarianism, space, technology, and innovation. In Aquarius, Jupiter provides a large, optimistic, and exciting vision about the future of humanity, especially as it involves technology or outer space.

The sign of Pisces is also imaginative, but more emotional and intuitive (some might even say spiritual) than inventive or intellectual. As a water sign, and thus pertaining to emotions, the ingress of Jupiter implies a more emotionally-driven collective psychology. It covers the whole spectrum from "irrational exuberance" to hysteria and panic.

Intermediate and long-term market cycles tend to form when Jupiter is in mutable signs. Pisces is one of the four mutable signs, and probably the most prone to market reversals of all the changeable, mutable signs. This is especially true with equities, metals (more Silver than Gold) and Crude Oil. If a financial market is making a new multi-month high then, it usually stops and reverses sharply down. If instead a market is falling hard to a multi-month low, it can qualify as a long- or intermediate-term cycle trough and then reverse upwards.

It is possible to see both types of cycles (crest and trough) unfold in this period, especially as Saturn will also make its second passage in its waning square aspect to Uranus on June 14. Very sharp but possibly short-lasting price changes tend to happen then. Remember: the first passage of February 17, 2021, coincided with the multi-year highs in several world stock indices, especially in Asia. The next passage might be equally as important.

Danger and Opportunity. That's the nature of Saturn and Uranus combined with Jupiter in Pisces. We remain vigilant for the Saturn/Uranus square to possibly manifest as a stock market crash. It has done so in every alternate instance of its 45-year cycle (1930-31, 1839-40). So far, however, stocks keep rising to new heights and investors experience the conflict between staying in and continuing to register gains, or exiting for fear that at some point, soon, the valuations will just be too high to sustain further rallies and markets will fall hard, causing enormous financial pain if they don't lock in profits while they can.

It's the oldest market conflict of all: greed versus fear, Jupiter versus Saturn. And until this week, May 13, they have been in the same sign, Aquarius, since the winter solstice of December 21, 2020. This has been a very bullish period. Now Jupiter will ingress into Pisces, a mutable sign, May 13-July 28. Here is where markets likely experience greater extremes. With mutable signs, the highs and lows are often exaggerated, both in terms of market prices and the psychological mood of the collective.

Everyone will have the opportunity to enjoy life to a greater degree these next few weeks. This can be a party aspect, a love fest, and one of renewed joy socializing with others after such a long period of stress and isolation. It can also be a time of heightened romantic impulses. However, remember what happens if you party too hard, take too great of risks, and don't apply measures of self-discipline. Hangovers and losses can follow. This is also the meaning of Jupiter in Pisces at the same time Saturn squares Uranus.

Longer-Term thoughts :

T".

To be continued (next week).

Announcements :

             Note 1 : MMA'S FINANCIAL MARKETS WORLD WEBINAR AND FORECASTS 2021 UPDATE WILL TAKE PLACE MAY 22, 2021, 12:00 PM MST: See details below, under EVENTS. Or, for more information, go to www.mmacycles.com, Shop> Webinars, or SIGN UP NOW TO LOCK IN YOUR PLACE for this event! See below.

             Note 2 : The recordings of Course 1 in the MMTA series of 8 courses are now available on the MMA website. Course One covered the methodology of market timing via cycle studies as developed by Raymond A. Merriman, C.T.A. (registered Commodities Trading Advisor). Course One took place over 7 class times, lasting 2-3 hours each, in January-February. The course was taught by Gianni Di Poce, MMTA graduate, and Raymond Merriman. This is an excellent way to understand the timing and patterns of market cycles in any financial or commodity market as developed in "The Ultimate Books on Stock Market Timing" series, with the emphasis here on Volume 1: Cycles and Patterns in the Indexes. The course was not limited to the stock market, however. Cycles in precious metals, currencies, grains, and treasuries were also covered. For more information on the title of each of the 19 classes taught over seven weeks, Click here.

             Note 3 : Every so often I get asked for a referral for an astrological consultation. There are many excellent professional astrologers in the world, and some-not-so-excellent ones too. I am going to recommend one today that has served my own family and close friends for many years (there are actually several, but I am only going to recommend one of them at this time). Her name is Erin Sullivan, and her contact info is erin@erinsullivan.com. She has an uncanny awareness for what is going on in the world related to the position of major transiting planets. And the most important tool of any professional astrologer, in my opinion, is mastery of transits and how they relate to the stages of life one is going through. There are very few who have this gift of understanding as Erin. She has been an astrological consultant for five decades, is a well-respected author of several books, and her fees are half of what mine are (a great value!). If you want to understand what you are going through in these challenging times, and what is coming up in regard to your career, finances, relationships, and physical or emotional health as indicated by cosmic cycles, contact Erin while she still does consultations.

             Note 4 : MMA is pleased to announce that Great Conjunctions: Shifting Times is now available as of this week! Written by Chris McRae, who was one of the world's leading Mundane Astrologers before her sudden passing to the cloud, this fascinating book on the history of Great Conjunctions involving the outer planets throughout history is of great importance to all astrological historians. It is especially appropriate today because 2020 was such a year exhibiting Great Conjunctions. In fact, the grandest of all outer planet conjunctions - the Jupiter/Saturn synodic cycle - took place on December 21, 2020, so this book is timely. The insights that McRae provides on these rare but remarkable configurations will make this one of the most valuable additions to the field of Mundane Astrology. The cost is $24.95 plus postage.

             Note 5 : .

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             Our monthly MMA Cycles : The monthly edition of the MMA Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports will be issued this week, Monday and Tuesday, via posting on our web site, or attachment via direct emails, for subscribers.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
One month trial subscriptions are available for this service for $35.00, which includes the current issue.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a one month trial basis for only $35.00.

             MMA's annual Forecast Book :

MMA's annual Forecasts Book, written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is one of the most unique, affordable, and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecast book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Specific markets analyzed for the next year(s) include : T-Notes and interest rates, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Gold, Silver, Currencies (U.S. Dollar, Euro, Yen, Swiss Franc, and British Pound), Crude Oil, Grains and Weather. Each market contains the important geocosmic three-star critical reversal dates for 2021. Special sections also include the USA and world economy, the USA and world politics, the USA and its President. A 2021 ephemeris and calendar (one month per page) with geocosmic signatures is included, as well as descriptions of the Mercury retrograde periods for 2021. This is a book with an impressive background for insightful accuracy into world economic and financial market conditions that you will not want to miss! For further information, go to https://www.mmacycles.com and click the banner.

For more information, visit www.mmacycles.com or call 1-800-662-3349 or 1-248-626-3034.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2021 will also available in these languages :

German : at http://www.mma-europe.ch or email : info@mma-europe.ch
Japanese : at https://www.toushinippou.co.jp/

Chinese Chinese : www.nodoor.com

The English version will also available through info@markettiming.nl or www.markettiming.nl.

             MMA's weekly and daily subscription reports have been extremely accurate and profitable lately, catching the lows in metals, stocks, crude oil, soybeans, and currencies. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes",You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like".... Well, when everything lines up just right...

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers : I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000. Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

Upcoming Events :

             MAY 22, 2021, 12:00 PM MST: MMA'S FINANCIAL MARKETS WORLD WEBINAR AND FORECASTS 2021 UPDATE. This broadcast will take place on Saturday, May 22, 2021, 3:00 PM EDT (that's 12:00 PM PDST, 8 PM UK, 9 PM CEDT. 5 AM Tokyo, 6 AM Sydney). In the comfort of your own home or office, you can tune into Raymond Merriman's Webinar on Financial Markets and Forecasts 2021 Update. This 2.5-hour webinar will give an intermediate-term update on several financial markets that were covered in the Forecast 2021 Book , including the U.S. stock market, Gold, Silver, Crude Oil, the Euro currency, and Bitcoin. This will be an especially timely presentation because 1) the 12-year Jupiter orbital cycle will be making its first entrance into Pisces on May 13, and 2) May 3-July 9 has been highlighted as one of the more probable times in 2021 for an intermediate-term (and possibly long-term) trend reversal in several financial markets, including world stock indices. Joining Ray to share their outlook will be Ulric Aspegrén (Euro, U.S. Dollar) and Gianni Di Poce (U.S. Treasuries, Crude Oil). Ray will be covering equities, metals, and Bitcoin. There will be a Q&A with attendees during this webinar. The cost to attend is $55.00 and includes the slides of the presentation, plus access to the video recording of the event. If unable to attend live, you can still sign up, as everyone who orders the Webinar will receive the video recording following the live event. For more information, go to www.mmacycles.com, Shop> Webinars. Or click here and SIGN UP NOW TO LOCK IN YOUR PLACE for this event!

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "..Save Our Swiss G"...Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

             The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader, is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when" to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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