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MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
March 18 - 2024
Raymond A. Merriman©
Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.
This year's printed version of Forecast 2024 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :
Chinese Dutch Deutsch Japanese
Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.
Note 1 : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.
Review and Preview :
"Quiet". "Stealthy". "Surprising". Gold prices are hitting record highs, and Wall Street analysts say they have been caught off guard. The precious metal is traditionally seen as a haven in times of volatility and geopolitical risk. This time, its ascent is coinciding with investor optimism about the U.S. economy, which has sent riskier assets like stocks to new highs. Even bitcoin has surged past its previous record. Bob Henderson, "Big Gold Rally Surprises Wall Street", Wall Street Journal, March 11, 2024.
The overall spending numbers fly in the face of fiscal reality. Mr. Biden proposes spending of $7.3 trillion in 2025, which is an increase of $1.1 trillion in two years. For those scoring at home, that's 18%. Mr. Biden's deficits mean that debt as a share of the economy also keeps rising. Covid spending by Donald Trump and Mr. Biden caused the debt to explode to levels not seen since the end of World War II. But unlike after that war, Mr. Biden is making no attempt to control the debt. This is a budget for a world that doesn't exist.. The Editorial Board, "Biden Offers a Budget Fantasy", Wall Street Journal, March 12, 2024.
In the absence of any major planetary aspects last week, financial markets that had been making new all-time highs started to pull back modestly. That doesn't mean the Jupiter/Uranus express headed to its major destination on April 20 has been derailed. It just means there is a pause as Venus will first conjoin Saturn on March 21, followed by a powerful solar eclipse and Mars conjoining Saturn, April 8-10.
It may get a bit rocky short-term, but the magnetic pull of Jupiter and Uranus is still poised to outweigh other cosmic forces. After all, there is probably no greater cosmic symbolism of a breakout to new all-time or multi-year highs than Jupiter interacting with Uranus. Uranus doesn't like restrictions such as support and resistance, and is driven to break beyond them, whereas Jupiter likes to do things in a big, grandiose fashion. Those dynamics aren't over yet. Furthermore, they may show up in other sectors of human activity besides financial markets, such as boasts (over-confidence) and over-estimation of perceived factors in decision-making by world leaders, which could lead to critical strategic errors.
The number of new highs by global stock indices was less than the previous week. The German DAX remained strong, posting yet another new all-time high on March 14 at 18,039. The Zurich SMI soared to its highest level since May 2022, while the London FTSE made a new 9-month high. The Netherlands AEX failed to take out its all-time made the prior week, for a case of regional intermarket bearish divergence.
In ASIA and the Pacific Rim, India's NIFTY made a new all-time high, but it was early in the week, after which is faded. China and Hong Kong markets were strong with each positing their highest marks since November. The Japanese Nikki took a turn south, dropping 2200+ points from its all-time high of the previous week. Australia's ASX failed to take out its high of the prior week (it tried), and then sold off into Friday, March 15.
No U.S. index made a new all-time high last week. The highs of March 8 in both the NASDAQ and S&P remained intact. Each index, including the DJIA, made a secondary high mid-week, but closed down by Friday, suggesting weakness heading into next week.
Silver was a star last week, continuing its surge to $25.42 on Friday, its highest price since its last primary cycle crest of December 4 (at 26.34) and in line with our call made in last week's monthly MMA Cycles Report. Gold, however, did not exceed its all-time high of 2202 made the prior week on March 8.
Bitcoin made another new all-time high on Thursday, March 14, at 73,803. However, by Friday, one day later, it had dropped over 8000 to 65,564. Crude Oil had a good week, rallying to a high of 81.62 on Thursday, its highest price in four months.
Short-Term Geocosmics and longer-term thoughts :
Vladimir Putin warned publicly for the second time in less than two weeks of the possibility of nuclear confrontation with the West, a saber the Russian president is rattling with increasing frequency ahead of presidential elections this weekend. Ann M. Simmons, "Putin Rattles Nuclear Saber Ahead of Presidential Elections", Wall Street Journal, March 14, 2024.
Don't go around tonight
Well it's bound to take your life
There's a bad moon on the rise
John Fogerty, Creedence Clearwater Revival, 1969
"Only by living at the edge of death can you understand the indescribable joy of life". James Clavel, "Shogun".
We are on the edge of very passive-aggressive collective mood the next three weeks. The passivity is shown by the Sun conjunct Neptune of March 17 in Pisces. It is supported by the frozen Venus/Saturn conjunction, also in Pisces, on March 21. In market-speak, that means traders may want to believe the raging bull markets will continue, but now there is some doubt, confusion. So they may choose to "wait and see" if voices such as the Fed come out and re-affirm their short-term interest rates will be reduced, as suggested a few days ago, in light of the fact that last week's inflation numbers showed a slight rise - and hence the pause in market rallies (stocks, Gold, Bitcoin). Our rule remains the same as given before : any market declining into a hard Venus aspect (like we see on March 21) is a candidate to buy.
And once we pass through this fog of uncertainty, confusion, and passivity (or paralysis to act), we head into the eclipse season, with the Sun, Lunar North Node, and Chiron all in the potentially combative and aggressive sign of Aries. It's another "Flip the Script" sequence. On top of that, Mercury will turn retrograde on April 1, which means instead of "flipping the script", the script may "flip flop" (not much difference, except the flip flop means more confusion again). Financial markets could get rather rowdy and disorderly as we creep closer and closer to Jupiter conjoining Uranus, April 20.
It goes like this : first there is a lunar eclipse on Monday, March 25. Lunar eclipses are full moons that find the Lunar Nodes nearby to both the Sun and Moon. Their "influence" lasts about three weeks before through three months after in time. In Aries and Libra, this portends conflict between acts of aggression and strategies of diplomacy. Negotiations have a chance, at first. But things could unravel quickly once Venus ends its conjunction with Neptune in Pisces (April 3) and enters Aries (April 4).
By April 8, one of the most powerful solar eclipses to darken a path across the United States will command awe and attention. Everyone will be asking : what does this event - these few minutes of total darkness - mean ? In Aries, with the Nodes and Chiron also nearby, it means danger of harm. With Mars conjoining Saturn two days later, it can signify war threats or threats from nature (hurricanes, earthquakes, floods, extreme heat or cold). With Pluto in Aquarius, it can be threats of nuclear actions.
Putin just rattled the saber - again, just as we pointed out nuclear tensions could escalate when Pluto (threat to human lives), god of the underworld, went into Aquarius. He confirmed his threat again last week, which should not be taken lightly. It doesn't mean he will definitely act on this threat, or that if he does, that it will happen in April. An eclipse can continue its promise or threat for approximately 18 months afterwards, and it can start up to three months before (different astrologers will have different opinions on this, but this is my observation). Thus, it would be unwise to assume Putin will not act on this threat if he personally feels threatened. And with his natal Sun-Saturn-Neptune conjunction in Libra opposite the eclipse, he may be paranoiac to the extent of having delusions of persecution. This may heighten his fear of threats - and acting upon them. We should be cognizant of this.
The path of the April 8 eclipse will follow a trajectory from Mexico, up through Texas, into the Midwest Corn belt, and along the U.S. Canadian border from Lake Erie up through Maine. Any country under the path of an eclipse is vulnerable to major changes in its leadership. It is vulnerable to major reversal of its current policy initiatives.
What should we do ? How should we approach this as individuals in our own life ?. Understand that the symbolism is that of the Moon (emotions, the past) blocking the path of the Sun (the future). A new path is being birthed, which means any path tied to emotions of attachment have to be transcended. If things are not working out well in relationships, work, or health, it is time to visualize and then initiate actions to forge a new path. Allowing matters and thoughts that are unhealthy to persist will raise the possibility that changes will be forced upon one. Detachment from that which is familiar may not be simple if one does not accept or make changes voluntarily.
Eclipses can be very Plutonian (in the language of astrology). It may seem like a "Bad moon is rising", but it need not be, especially as this Eclipse is conjunct the North Node of the Moon (as opposed to the Moon's South Node). The important lesson to apply is the choice to detach oneself from habits, activities, and emotions that are blocking one's future. If it isn't working, fix it or change it. If it is working, don't break it. Just be patient if you believe in yourself and your plans. And most of all, cause no harm to others, for with an eclipse like this, efforts to harm others could backfire in ways that are unexpected. Think of helping others and allowing them to help you (Mars/Saturn in Pisces), as opposed to a paranoid feeling of a need to punish others based on an assumption that are trying to harm you.
Longer-Term Geocosmics and Thoughts :
".
To be continued (next week).
Announcements :
Note 1 : FORECAST 2024 BOOK IS now OUT in all formats - Print - ebook and audio. Order the now for instant access to Forecast 2024 by clicking here.
This will be the 48 th year of publishing this popular annual astrological almanac by Raymond Merriman. This book is 200 pages and provides projections of major social, political, mundane, and economic issues of the next year as seen through the lens of rhythmic and planetary cycle studies. This is critical at this time because
1) we are approaching the Aries Vortex in 2025-2026, which itself is the middle of the New Aira period of 2020-2032, and
2) the U.S. presidential election is taking place in 2024. This year's book gives an in-depth view of this election. In addition to analysis of mundane cycles, this book also provides our outlook on the Stock Market, Gold, Silver, Copper, Bitcoin, Currencies, Crude Oil, Treasuries and Interest rates, and Grain markets. The back section contains an ephemeris and geocosmic calendar outlining planetary aspects and lunar ingresses in effect every day of every month from January 2024 through March 2025.
The retail price of the Forecast 2024 printed edition is $66 (while supplies last), and the eBook is $55. The print edition is limited based on the number of pre-orders received by December 8. When they sell out, they are gone. There are no reprints. This book has sold out in six of the last eight years, so order now and make sure you receive your copy of Forecast 2024 !
MMA will also offer a special bundle discount rate for those who wish to order both the eBook and printed editions of Forecast 2024. The eBook usually comes out 1-2 weeks before the print edition, and avoids delays caused by the postal system, especially if overseas. Yet many readers prefer the print edition, so ordering both via The Forecast 2024 Bundle makes sense. You will receive the eBook on December 15 th, and your Print copy will be mailed mid-December.
This year's printed and eBook versions will also be available in these languages :
German : www.mma-europe.ch or email at info@mma-europe.ch
Japanese : https ://www.toushinippou.co.jp
Chinese : www.nodoor.com
For more information on this year's Forecast Book, please view our recent YouTube Video Interview with Ray and Alie at the Merriman Market Analyst YouTube channel , or by clicking here.
We created an updated list of our most common Forecast FAQs to help this Forecast season.
The Forecast 2023 Scorecard of the Forecast 2023 Book can now be viewed by clicking here.
Note 2 : Each foreign translation of Forecast 2024 has a section on that nation's stock market that is not in the English or other nations' Forecast Book. Yet we are aware that some readers and investors may be interested in the stock markets of these other nations, but do not wish those editions in the other nation's language. Therefore, we make those stock market outlooks available in English as a separate service for $35.00 each. The overseas market reports for 2024 that are available separately in English include: Japan's Nikkei, China's Shanghai Composite, and the German DAX plus Zurich SMI indices. Each is available in PDF format. Each report contains their monthly charts as of December 13 2023, and a list of their critical reversal dates for 2023.
Note 3 : Special Offer this season !!! MMA's newest monthly report, MMA Monthly Grains Report by Grains Analyst Wyatt Fellows. The cost of this subscription is normally $325, but on sale now for only $300 for a 1-Year subscription. If ordered together with the Forecast 2024 Book , there will be two further 10% discounts making the cost of the report only $270 for a 1-Year Subscription! This is an exceptional report by a top MMTA graduate who is also the owner of a large family farm operation. Wyatt knows the farming business and grain markets from both a cyclical and fundamental point of view. This report is an in-depth look at long-and short-term cycles in Corn, Wheat, Soybeans. The MMA Monthly Grain Report just started in January 2023 and has been extremely accurate. If you trade grains or are in the farming business and need an accurate timing and understanding of when to hedge your crop, this report is not to be missed! To order, click here.
MMA offers discounts to our Forecast Fan Club Members and our Active Subscriber Club members. Check out our page on Forecast Club Levels to learn more about these discounts.
Note 4 : THE MMA WEEKLY YouTube show Geocosmic Week in Review and Look Ahead, with Gianni Di Poce, is now conducted on Wednesday evenings !. Each 5-15 minute FREE episode reviews the market activity of the past week and offers a preview of the geocosmic signatures in effect for the next week and beyond. You may subscribe to MMA's YouTube Channel today at no cost and get alerted when a new weekly episode is released! Tune in on Wednesday evenings to hear Gianni and his guests update financial markets on YouTube!
Note 5 : THE February ISSUE OF THE MMA Monthly Cycles Report Plus+ , edited by Pouyan Zolfagharnia, was released last week. This market letter has become a very popular addition to the MMA Cycles Report (less technical, more visual with horoscopes of current importance, high-quality analysis and update on MMA Cycles Report markets). The mid-month addendum to the MMA Cycles report has stunning graphics and charts (people love it!) and is very readable. It contains more illustrations and references to geocosmics than most MMA Cycles reports and is only available for subscription to those who also subscribe to the MMA Monthly Cycles Report. If you wish to try this month's addendum, along with the latest issue of the MMA Monthly Cycles Report, sign up online at the link above. The cost for a monthly copy of both reports is $55. That will give you both the most recent June copy of the MMA Cycles Report and the June MMA Cycles Report Plus+ addendum coming out this week. Please note that subscriptions rates for this report will increase as of January 1, 2024. Sign up now and save big bucks! For further information and ordering instructions, please click here.
Note 6 :
The MMA Monthly ETF Report by Gianni Di Poce
was released last week.
Many have asked about a monthly report on Bitcoin, and the Monthly ETF Report does this via BITO, the ETF on Bitcoin. Written by MMA market analyst Gianni Di Poce, the ETF is a monthly newsletter that everyone trading ETFs is encouraged to read, especially those that seek less risky trading venues than futures. This report covers 8 ETFs on a monthly basis for readers. The ETFs include : SPY (S&P 500), GDX (gold miners), BITO (Bitcoin), TLT (+20-year Treasuries), USO (Crude Oil), XLV (healthcare), XLK (technology), and XHB (homebuilders). This is a report that was requested by popular demand and Gianni's insights and strategies are excellent. For further information, click here.
Note 7 : THE MONTHLY MMA CHINESE SHANGHAI STOCK MARKET (SSE) REPORT will be issued this week. It looks like the SSE has completed its 5.5-year cycle low earlier this year with its lowest price since January 2019. And as of last week, SSE has soared nearly 17% in the past month. For information on subscribing to this report and the ETF that follows it, click here . .
Note 8 : MMA'S FREE WEEKLY COLUMN IS NOW ON SPOTIFY, APPLE, AND AMAZON PODCAST! Now you can listen to a podcast of this weekly column by Thomas Miller on Saturdays ! Just follow Merriman Market Analyst on Spotify or Apple to listen to all our episodes. New Podcast episodes will be released every weekend. This is a FREE service and is available to everyone. Checkout out our Podcasts on Apple, Spotify, and Apple Music. It makes for great listening!.
Note 9 : MMA'S Daily and Weekly Subscription services have been very hot, especially with stock indices, metals, and Bitcoin over the past several weeks. For instance, these reports have been long Gold since the lows of October 6 (below $1840), stocks since right after their low of October 27, and Bitcoin for several weeks as well. To order any of these subscription reports, please click here.
Our monthly MMA Cycles Report : The monthly edition of the MMA Montly Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports was released last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.
- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
One month trial subscriptions are available for this service for $35.00, which includes the current issue.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a one month trial basis for only $35.00, or save by ordering a 30-months or one year subscription.
MMA's annual Forecast Book : see above
Upcoming Events :
March 16, 2024, 1:00 PM EDT: OPTIONS STRATEGIES FOR FINANCIAL MARKETS Webinar with Derak Panaia and hosted by Raymond Merriman. Cost to attend is $95, and participant should have basic understanding of options before attending this presentation. To register, click here. This event is timed to identify top candidates for potentially big price moves into the Jupiter/Uranus conjunction of April 20/21. We think the Jupiter/Uranus conjunction could be explosive for some financial and commodity markets, and it is thus worthy of a limited but favorable risk/reward options strategy if correct. The markets to be covered have now been determined: Gold, Soybeans, T-Notes, and a stock index (and maybe Crude Oil if time permits). The cost to attend is $95. Note : All participants should have a basic understanding of options before attending this presentation. If you do not have a basic understanding of options, we recommend that you purchase the recording of the Workshop "Introduction to Options" webinar Derek gave on December 10, 2023. The cost of the 3-hour workshop recording is $250 . However, you can sign up for the BUNDLE of both the upcoming March 16 workshop and the December 10 Introductory Course recording for $225 (a savings of $120) by clicking here.
April 20, 2024 : FORECASTS 2024 AND THE APPROCHING ARIES VORTEX, Nova Southwestern University, Ft. Lauderdale, FL, with Ray Merriman. An in-person event and workshop, 10 :30 AM - 5 :00 PM with a 90-minute lunch break. We will also update financial markets that are likely to be at critical stages in their cycles then, as it takes place under the Jupiter/Uranus conjunction that day. Cost is $95.00. This is one of the few live in-person events to be given by Ray Merriman this year. This event will not be broadcast via Zoom, but recordings will be made available for sale a few days afterwards. For further information and registration, please click here.
September 19-22, 2024 : SAVE THE DATES!!! This will be the next MMA Investment Retreat! Negotiations are currently underway to bring this exciting gathering to a destination location in Europe for the first time since 2015. Once the agreement with the hotel is finalized, we will make a formal announcement, but for now. SAVE THE DATES! You won't want to miss this chance to meet with the top MMA Analysts (and others to be invited) live and hear their strategies for long-term investments and wealth building ideas using MMA market timing methods. There is nothing quite like a life altering MMA Investment Retreat!
I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.
To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.
It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the ..Save Our Swiss G...Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!
The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.
The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader, is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to whento expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!
Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.
No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.
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