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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
August 10 - 2020
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2020 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :

ChineseChinese        Deutsch         Japanese       Italiano

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Note : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.

Review and short term geocosmics :

The Labor Department said in its Friday report that employers added 1.8 million jobs last month, sending the unemployment rate down for the third straight month to 10.2%, topping Wall Street's expectations. The report marked the third consecutive month of job growth in the millions, indicating a slow -- but steady -- improvement. Still, the economy has so far added back less than half -- about 42 percent -- of the 22 million jobs it lost during the pandemic, data shows. There are still 10.6 million more out-of-work Americans than in February. - Megan Henney, "July Marked the Third Consecutive Month of Job Growth in the Millions", www.foxbusiness.com, August 7, 2020.

The polls show the economy is the one issue on which a majority trusts Mr. Trump more than it does Joe Biden. But if he signs another Nancy Pelosi special, voters can be forgiven if they wonder what the economic policy difference is between Republicans and Democrats. - "Trump's Trillion-Dollar Choice", Opinion Page, Wall Street Journal editors, August 7, 2020.

It was another remarkable week for precious metals and currencies, including Bitcoin.

On Friday, August 7, Gold soared to another all-time high, reaching 2089.20, well above its previous all-time high of 1023 in September 2011. Silver tested 30.00, its highest mark since February 2013, but still well off its all-time highs of near 50.00 in January 1980 and April 2011. The Euro rallied to 1.1915 on Thursday, August 6, its highest level since May 2018, while the U.S. Dollar fell to 92.52, its lowest price since May 2018. Bitcoin rallied sharply to its highest price since August 2019, reaching a peak of 12,085 on August 6. The 10-Year Treasury also performed well last week, soaring to 140/13, testing its all-time high of 140/24 made on March 19, when Mars was forming its conjunction to the Capricorn stellium. It is now making its first quarter cycle (square) to these same planets at this time.

World equity markets were not nearly so spectacular, but interesting, nevertheless. In Europe, the major stock indices completed a major cycle low between July 30 and August 3. Each then rallied as the full moon T-squared Uranus, August 2-3, with some topping out then, and others - like the DAX - continuing into August 6 before pulling back.

In the Far East and Pacific Rim, it was a very mixed performance. China's Shanghai Composite completed a decline from its yearly high of 3458 on July 13 to a low of 3174 on July 27 after which it rallied to a secondary high of 3392 on August 6. The Hang Seng of Hong Kong did not fare so well, falling to new multi-week low on Friday, August 7. India's Nifty rallied to a post-crash high on July 29, fell to a low on August 3, then rallied again to a secondary high on August 6. Japan's Nikkei made a double bottom, major cycle low on July 31, then a modest rally last week, but not to a new cycle high. Australia's ASX made a cycle low on Monday, August 2, but rallied only modestly into August 4. What is interesting about the European and Asian equity markets is their close correlation to reversals very near important geocosmic signatures. You may remember we had that triple opposition of the Sun to the Capricorn stellium July 14-20. Each of these markets made new cycle highs then. We then had another critical reversal period July 31 +/- 3 trading days. All made major cycle lows then.

In the U.S. stock indices, it was a little different. Each of the markets we track made major or trading cycle lows on July 30, but then each rallied smartly into Friday, August 7. The NASDAQ made a new all-time high, the S&P a new post-crash high, and the DJIA a secondary high but not a new post-crash high. The divergences throughout the world continue as we are in the midst of two strong Uranus signatures and the powerful first quarter square from Mars to the Capricorn stellium planets. It looks like it will be a turbulent five months until the end of the year and maybe a little beyond.

Short-Term Geocosmics and longer term thoughts :

On Thursday, Mr. Trump said he is reimposing a 10% tariff on Canadian aluminum, which had been lifted ahead of last year's United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA). If the U.S. walks back on its trade commitments, how can it criticize China for doing the same ? The aluminum tariff is Mr. Trump at his policy worst. He hurts U.S. industry and consumers, while telling America's friends that his word on trade can't be trusted. - "So Much for Trump's Trade Promise", Wall Street Journal editors, The Wall Street Journal, August 7, 2020.

"I don't have to tell you things are bad. Everybody knows things are bad. It's a depression. Everybody's out of work or scared of losing their job. Dollar buys a nickel's worth, banks are going bust, shopkeepers keep a gun under the counter. Punks are running wild in the street and nobody seems to know what to do. We know the air is unfit to breathe and our food is unfit to eat. It's like everything everywhere is going crazy, so we don't get out anymore. We sit in the house, and slowly the world we are living in is getting smaller. All I know is that first you've got to get mad. You've got to say, "I am a human being, my life has value!" So, I want you to get up now. Go to the window and yell, "I'm mad as hell, and I'm not going to take this anymore!" - Network, the movie, directed by Sidney Lumet, 1976 (quote provided by MMA editor Beth Woody).

It's wild and it's not likely to get calm anytime soon. The fiery Mars is in fiery Aries, its ruling sign, and beginning a 3-week transit in hard aspect to the Capricorn stellium planets of Jupiter, Pluto, and Saturn, August 4-24. This week, August 13, we get the middle of this combustible combination when Mars squares Pluto, an aspect that can make people "mad as hell" and proclaim they "aren't going to take this anymore". It doesn't get any calmer when Uranus turns retrograde in Taurus two days later on August 15. It is like turning the pressure up to maximum intensity where one's enemies, and one's personal frustrations are highly inflammable. Literally, there may be wildfires, explosions, threats to the environment, crops, and human lives.

Actually, it doesn't really end in three weeks, because Mars will turn retrograde and do it all over again September 29-October 19. Mars in its ruling sign is usually a strong positive for the world, but the square to Jupiter, Pluto, and Saturn is a major challenge. However, when Mars goes retrograde in its ruling sign (September 9-November 13), the assertive nature of Mars in its ruling sign can turn to aggression and war-like rhetoric or behavior. The temperature in the room may become unbearable if controls on one's basic impulses are not implemented. If not checked, this can be a recipe for destruction or self-destruction. Under retrograde Mars, the aggressor is usually the loser.

How might this affect the world of financial markets ? You already see it with precious metals, Bitcoin, and currencies. The political environment is wild and easily inflamed, driving investors to take cover. The stock market is holding on well enough in the midst of this developing inferno, but it could break at any moment, and especially September 29-October 19, if not even sometime this month. Uranus indicates that any well-defined support or resistance can break too. The resistance in U.S. stocks has already broken in the case of the NASDAQ and S&P as they run up sharply, but support levels are not that far away. In fact, they are very close in some Asian indices like the Nikkei and Hang Seng. With Uranus highlighted, it can be either reversals or breakouts. With Mars, things happen fast. Mars is action and lots of volume. It gets loud.

Thinking further ahead, Saturn will form its 45-year waning square aspect to Uranus throughout most of 2021. The last time this signature occurred was October 1975-April 1977 when the move Network was released (see quote at beginning of this section). That was also the year that Jimmy Carter was elected president after the turmoil of the Nixon "Law and Order" years were finished off with Gerald Ford. Joe Biden reminds me of Jimmy Carter. I can envision a Biden presidency a lot like a Carter presidency. The time before that was February 1930-October 1931. That was the time the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act played a significant role in the unfolding of the Great Depression, and the last time a Republican president (Herbert Hoover), with only a business background and little political experience, was elected president with control of both the House and Senate in his first two years. History doesn't have to repeat itself, but when it correlates with long-term planetary aspects repeating themselves (as it often does), it is wise to pay attention to themes (chaos) that were present under these same cosmic cycles.

The point to remember isn't just that these planetary cycles correlate with chaos and social and financial disturbances. It is to remind ourselves that we've been through these cosmic storms before and we came out stronger and the better for it. We didn't self-destruct as a nation, although some leaders did indeed self-destruct through decisions and behaviors that tested core principles of the American psyche. The economy and financial markets went through wild gyrations and people lost money and many businesses went bankrupt. But the economy and the markets came back, despite the prevailing fear at the time that they would crash and never recover, and despite the proclamations of anarchists that this was the end of America, democracy, and capitalism. It's a long-term cycle (Saturn/Pluto, Jupiter/Saturn, Saturn/Uranus) and we are right in the middle of it. We have to recognize or remember that in these kinds of cycles, inventions and new ideas often lead the way into a new era of prosperity. This is a new era we are entering. Figure out what will be the opportunities of this new era. Better yet, invent them.

Longer-Term thoughts :

R.

To be continued (next week).

Announcements :

             Note 1 : MMA will offer its second 2-year program of the Merriman Market Timing Academy beginning on October 24, 2020!. This is the rare opportunity to learn the MMA Methodology of financial market timing and financial market analysis . The first course took place between 2013-2014 and graduated 20 apprentices, many of whom are now professional market analysts. Several of the graduates now serve as analysts of specific markets for various MMA subscription reports. This second 2-year program will be offered online and will be led by MMTA graduate Gianni Di Poce and founder Raymond Merriman. There will be 6-7 classes per course, 8 courses in all. Each class will last 2 hours each. These will take place live on Saturdays, and MP4 recordings will be available the following Monday to those who register. There will be a one-month break between each course. The cost for the 2-year program in 2013-2014 was $20,000 and required students to spend 3-4 day courses onsite in at the Michigan State University Management Center in Troy, Michigan. This second series of courses will be online, and will cost $12,000, with a 10% discount for those who register by September 20, 2020. To enroll for the "MMTA Apprentice", designation, you will need to know how to read an ephemeris and/or take a pre-entrance exam to demonstrate this aptitude. If you don't know how to "Read an Ephemeris", a link to an MP4 presentation will be provided at no cost to those who sign up for at least the first year. An "MMTA Certificate of Graduation" (as an MMTA apprentice) will be awarded for those who take and pass exams at the end of each course and complete a research project with teams of up to three members each between courses. Courses may be taken separately, without an entrance exam, course exams, or research papers if one only wishes the knowledge without the certificate of graduation. For more information and schedule, please visit MMTA and find out how you can become a financial market timer and analyst, the MMA way.

             Note 2 :

             Note 3 : The Forecast 2021 Book will begin taking pre-publications orders in early August. Our preliminary outlook is that 2021 may be just as dramatic as 2020. There will be changes this year, as every Forecast Book since 2010 has grown larger and larger and has taken more and more research and time to write. From a book size of 150-160 pages, it has steadily grown to 250 pages last year. The results have been impressive, but it was a challenge last year to complete the book on time. Thus, it is necessary to cut back on some features in order to finish in a timely manner. One of the sections that will not be included in this year's annual Forecast Book will be the 32-36 pages on individual Sun Signs. That will save me about 2 weeks of work that I can use to focus on the main body of the book that addresses the world's political, economic, and financial markets outlook. We are, however, developing a plan for a second publication for those who enjoy the yearly outlook for the individual signs. It will be written by Antonia Langsdorf-Merriman and myself. Antonia is one of Europe's most renowned astrologers and has written an annual Sun Sign book in German for the past several years, based on interviews that she conducts with me beforehand. We will follow that same format in 2021, where she will interview me on the career and relationship outlook of each sun sign for the year ahead, and then she will write the text based on these views, which will then be translated into English. We anticipate that this book will be just as popular here in the U.S. (and elsewhere) as it has been in Germany. Stay tuned for further announcements - and pre-publication sales - on Forecast 2021!

Please visit https://www.mmacycles.com/articles/forecast-2020-scorecard-as-of-july-27-2020 for a review of the Forecast 2020 Book so far,

             Note 4 : .

             Note 5 :

             Our monthly MMA Cycles : The monthly edition of the MMA Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports will be issued this week, Monday and Tuesday, via posting on our web site, or attachment via direct emails, for subscribers.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
One month trial subscriptions are available for this service for $35.00, which includes the current issue.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a one month trial basis for only $35.00.

             MMA's annual Forecast Book :

MMA's annual Forecasts Book, written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is one of the most unique, affordable, and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecast book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Specific markets analyzed for the next year(s) include : T-Notes and interest rates, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Gold, Silver, Currencies (U.S. Dollar, Euro, Yen, Swiss Franc, and British Pound), Crude Oil, Grains and Weather. Each market contains the important geocosmic three-star critical reversal dates for 2021. Special sections also include the USA and world economy, the USA and world politics, the USA and its President. A 2020 ephemeris and calendar (one month per page) with geocosmic signatures is included, as well as descriptions of the Mercury retrograde periods for 2021. This is a book with an impressive background for insightful accuracy into world economic and financial market conditions that you will not want to miss! For further information, go to https://www.mmacycles.com and click the banner.

For more information, visit www.mmacycles.com or call 1-800-662-3349 or 1-248-626-3034.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2020 will also available in these languages :

Italiano : at https://ilmiolibro.kataweb.it/utenti/79533/market-timing

German : at http://www.mma-europe.ch or email : info@mma-europe.ch
Japanese : at https://www.toushinippou.co.jp/

Chinese Chinese : www.nodoor.com

             MMA's weekly and daily subscription reports have been extremely accurate and profitable lately, catching the lows in metals, stocks, crude oil, soybeans, and currencies. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes",You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like it". Well, when everything lines up just right...

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers : I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000. Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

Upcoming Events :

             September 12-13, 2020 : The ISAR 2020 conference is being rescheduled into two events. The first part is a 2-day online event, called "A Virtual Conjunction: Reimagining the Future", On Saturday 12, 2020, from 1:00 - 5:30 PM, EDT, eight world class astrologers will make 25-minute online presentations addressing "Reimagining the Future: The Astrology of Entering a New Era". The second day will take place 1:00 - 3:30 PM, EDT. The subject will be "The USA 2020 Presidential Election : An Astrological Perspective", featuring a discussion on the charts of the election, between Lynn Bell, Caroline Casey, Lee Leaman, Christeen Skinner, and Raymond Merriman. The cost for the two events is $95, or $55 for any single one.To register or see more information on this spectacular event, go to go to https://isar2020.org and be prepared to be amazed!.

The second event will be the main conference, which is being rescheduled to August 18-22, 2021 on site, in person, at a location to be announced shortly.

             October 11 2020 :  (Changed from September 17) : Special Q&A webinar for MMA Subscribers with Raymond Merriman! 4:30 PM, EDT or 1:30 PM PDT 9:30 PM GMDT). This webinar is free to those who subscribe to any MMA subscription reports, or $55 if not a subscriber. Subscribers may send in a question they wish Merriman to address ahead of time. The only requirement is that the questions be of general interest to everyone attending the Q&A. Questions about a specific market are fine. It is possible that there may not be enough time to address all questions, so they will be answered on a first come, first serve basis. This event will last 90 minutes. You must register to attend at least two days before the event and a link to enter the meeting will be sent to all registrants that week.

             October 24, 2020 : The first class of the 2-year program of the Merriman Market Timing Academy begins ! For details, see the above announcement, or visit MMTA.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "Save Our Swiss Gold"Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

             The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader, is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when"to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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