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MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
November 4- 2024
Raymond A. Merriman©
Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.
This year's printed version of Forecast 2024 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :
Chinese
Dutch
Deutsch
Japanese
Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.
Note 1 : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.
Note 2 :
Review and Preview :
The U.S. economy continued its recent strong stretch this summer. Gross domestic product increased at a 2.8% annual rate in the third quarter, adjusted for seasonality and inflation, the Commerce Department said Wednesday. That was a slight slowdown from the second quarter's 3% rate and below economists' expectations for a 3.1% pace. Still, the July-to-September period marked a continuation of a roughly two-year streak of strong growth for the U.S. economy even in the face of historically high borrowing costs. Harriet Torry, "U.S. Economic Growth Extends Solid Streak", Wall Street Journal, October 30, 2024.
Job creation in October slowed to its weakest pace since late 2020 as the impacts of storms in the Southeast and a significant labor impasse dented the employment picture. Nonfarm payrolls increased by 12,000 for the month, down sharply from September and below the Dow Jones estimate for 100,000. In what had already been expected to be a downbeat report, October posted the smallest gain since December 2020. The unemployment rate, however, held at 4.1%, in line with expectations. Jeff Cox, U.S. Economy Added Just 12,000 Jobs in October", www.cnbc.com. November 1, 2024.
It was a rough week for most global stock indices. Yet, this is consistent with my prior observations shared that U.S. stock indices tends to sell of rather sharply into a low within two weeks of the Presidential Election. That appears to have happened last week, and might still be underway.
In Asia and the Pacific Rim, India's Nifty Index continues to struggle near the lows of the last 12 weeks. Japan's Nikkei looked positive with gaps up early in the week, but then on Friday it gapped down over 1000 points and created a chart pattern known as a "bearish island reversal". China and Hong Kong's markets basically went sideways in the idle of the range covering the recent huge rally. Australia's ASX index fell to a 7-week low. Just two weeks ago it was at an all-time high.
In Europe, the mood was more bleak. On October 31, the Netherlands AEX, London FTSE, and Zurich SMI all fell to 12-week lows. The German DAX index was stronger, only falling to a 3-week low.
The U.S. stock indices were an enigma. The NASDAQ had been the only major index not to have made a new all-time high in October. But last week, it was the only index to make a new record high. The DJIA and S&P fell to multi-week lows after their recent all-time highs on October 17-18. Thus a case of intermarket bearish divergence ended, but then a new one began.
Short-Term Geocosmics and Longer-Term Thoughts :
Regardless of the winner, this election has produced an emerging political reality: The country is moving to the right, or at least center-right, and is likely to stay there. I don't believe this drift is directly attributable to Mr. Trump himself. He rode it, but didn't cause a tectonic shift in America's politics. The highly politicized idea of "wokeness" is in broad decline, a victim of its own unreflective overreaching and intolerance on questions of equity, gender and climate. The U.S. has had enough of its endless "demands". Daniel Henninger, "Trump's a 'Fascist.' Harris Is 'Stupid.' An election From the Bottom of the Barrel is Almost "Over". Wall Street Journal, October 31, 2024.
"Presidential endorsements do nothing to tip the scales of an election. . . . What presidential endorsements actually do is create a perception of bias. . . . Ending them is a principled decision, and it's the right one. Eugene Meyer, publisher of The Washington Post from 1933 to 1946, thought the same, and he was right. By itself, declining to endorse presidential candidates is not enough to move us very far up the trust scale, but it's a meaningful step in the right direction". Jeff Bezos, op-ed in Washington Post, which he owns, explaining why the Post did not endorse Kamala Harris or any candidate this year, October 28, 2024.
Anyone who claims to know what's going to happen is lying. But people wish they had a better choice. "They don't want him in there, and can't see her there". That's why it's close. He's too crazy for me, they're too extreme. He's mad, bad and dangerous to know. She and her party continue to move too damagingly to the left.. Here is an institution we helped this year-unknowingly, without really meaning to. In this messy monster of a campaign we enlivened and perhaps even revitalized democracy. It's the big story underneath the big story. Peggy Noonan, "A Great Democracy Faces a Bad Choice", Wall Street Journal, Nov 2, 2024.
It's nobody's business but my own
Well it ain't nobody's, no, no, it ain't
It ain't nobody's business
It's nobody's business but my own
Irving Taylor, "Ain't Nobody's Business But My Own", Kiss Music Company, 1975
It appears elections have consequences. Or rather, the perception of election results also have consequences as noted by market behavior this past week. Prior to last week, Trump was steamrolling ahead. But by the middle of the week, the election was back to a dead heat. Trump's early October bump related to transiting Jupiter (stationary) on October 9, very close to his natal Sun in Gemini, is starting to fade as the great benefic (Jupiter) begins pulling back under its retrograde motion. Will there be enough juice left to carry him to victory ?.
The same could be asked of Kamala Harris, whose Gemini ascendant is also close to transiting Jupiter. It is pulling back now as well. Furthermore, as outlined in this column, she had her peak of support in August-September when her progressed Moon conjoined the U.S. natal Sun. But now that conjunction started separating as of mid-September when polls had her leading. Can she last it out another week? Sure, they both can. And that's why any astrologer or pundit who claims they know who will win just doesn't know that they don't know. There are astrological studies - correlations to past election cycles - that support both candidates, as discussed last week. But no matter. Once the election is over, half the pundits who guessed right will claim paranormal, clairvoyant, powers. That's life when you see astrology as entertainment or fortune-telling. It's much more than that. It has value to societies beyond that.
In reality, predictions are just information, not truth. However, if the source of that information has a reliable track record for accuracy, and also derives their outlook based on actual correlative studies (say 80%), then it has value in the sense that one can make a plan based on higher than normal probabilities.
As far as astrological conditions of next week, they look tense. The war-like, "take-no-prisoners, show-no-mercy", aspect of Mars changing signs from Cancer to Leo and in opposition to Pluto, is nothing to mess around with. This is a dynamic that could coincide with confrontations, even violence, and one would be wise to avoid potentially dangerous and explosive situations. On top of that, the Moon will ingress into Sagittarius starting November 3, the sign of exaggeration and "no holds barred", while at the same time Venus will be in opposition to Jupiter, ruler of the Sagittarius Moon sign. Things could get out of control, eve violent this weekend through early next week. This combination is already manifesting in the burning of ballot boxes in some states, which is a typical expression (arson, destruction of property) under a Mars/Pluto hard aspect.
Markets won't like it if there is no decisive winner announced rather quickly. In that case, stock markets could fall, perhaps into the next Level 1 signature which is Saturn turning direct on November 15, which is also a full moon. That is still within two weeks of the election when lows in U.S. stock indices tend to happen, if they didn't just happen last Thursday, October 31, on Halloween.
This is Scorpio season. In fact. Friday, November 1, is a new moon in Scorpio. Mars and Pluto co-rule Scorpio. The dynamics of a new moon can also last up to two weeks. You don't want to take risks to your safety under a Mars/Pluto hard aspect, or under a Scorpio new or full moon. Play it safe. Scorpio is excellent for intimacy and deep conversations. Make love, avoid war. And keep your vote - and all secrets and private matters - to yourself. It's nobody's business but your own. Scorpio's rule. Respect it.
Longer-Term Geocosmics Thoughts :
To be continued (next week).
Announcements :
Note 1 : FORECAST 2025 IS ON SCHDULE TO BE COMPLETED BY DECEMBER 15!!!
MMA's annual Forecast book is an astrological-themed almanac that has served students of cycles and markets since 1976. It provides a cyclical outlook of the collective world psychology, national economy, geopolitical overview, socio-cultural trends, weather and natural calamities potential, as well as financial market projections for the U.S. stock market, the U.S. Treasury market, interest rates, Gold and Silver, currencies (the Euro, U.S. Dollar, Swiss Franc, and Japanese Yen), Bitcoin, Crude Oil, and Grain markets. Its valuable market timing forecasts are based on the historical correlation of market cycles overlapping with geocosmic planetary cycles. Additionally, it provides the three-star critical reversal dates for each market for the year, which have an 80+% accuracy over the years to trading cycle highs and lows when given an orb of three trading days. The book is approximately 200 pages, 8.5" x 11", and has set the standard for all astrological almanacs written today.
The scorecard for Forecast 2024 , as of October 7, 2024, is now available for viewing by clicking here.
The FORECAST 2025 print edition is available at the rate of $66 but copies will be limited. The eBook version is available for $55 and does not have a limit.
MMA is also offering a special "bundle" discount rate for those who wish to order both the eBook and printed editions of Forecast 2025 for $86. The eBook usually comes out 1-2 weeks before the print edition and avoids delays caused by the postal system, especially for those who live overseas. Yet many readers prefer the print edition, so ordering both via the Forecast 2025 Bundle makes sense. You will receive the Forecast 2025 eBook on December 15, and the print copy will be mailed shortly after in mid-December.
There will also be an audiobook version of Forecast 2025 available by December 15. This audio version will not include the financial markets nor the ephemeris and geocosmic calendar for each month that will be included in the print and eBook versions. The cost of this abridged audio version will be $29.00 and makes an excellent companion when working out or driving.
To pre-order Forecast 2025 now, please click here.
This year's printed and eBook versions will also be available in these languages :
German : www.mma-europe.ch or email at info@mma-europe.ch
Japanese : https ://www.toushinippou.co.jp
Chinese : www.nodoor.com
Note 2 : YOUR PERSONAL "JUPITER REPORT" - YOUR MOMENTS OF OPPORTUNITY" IS NOW AVAILABLE and makes an excellent holiday gift for your family and friends!!! This newest product is written by Raymond Merriman. It is a 30-40 page report that all traders (and even non-traders) will find to be of great value. It identifies the times during the year when Jupiter transits are highlighted in your natal chart. It delineates the meaning of Jupiter's transits to your natal planets and angles over a 14-month period (including one month before your order and one month after the year ends). Why is this valuable? Because transits of Jupiter identify special opportunities for financial gains, success in one's career and social life, popularity, and good fortune (luck) when under harmonious aspects and used correctly. However, they can also indicate periods of misjudgments leading to losses if Jupiter is afflicted and one is not properly prepared. As an added bonus, each transit is ranked from -3 to +3 in terms of favorability for trading. Traders may find this most valuable! Would you like to know when you are under a +3 transit and, therefore, most likely to experience trading successes? Or a -3 transit with stronger-than-usual potential for misjudgments and losses? You betcha! The cost for your 14-month Jupiter Report is $69. Click here to order!!!.
Here is what others say about the new Jupiter Report, which was launched less than one month ago :
"I want to let you know how much I like the Jupiter Report. It is very detailed and informative! The graphs with the orb dates are very helpful". - D.M.
"The new report on Jupiter is very well done. The interpretations are insightful and inspiring, and the report itself is aesthetically pleasing and extremely informative as well as easy to read ". - H.V.A.
Note 3 :
Note 4 : Special Offer this season !!! MMA's newest monthly report, MMA Monthly Grains Report by Grains Analyst Wyatt Fellows. The cost of this subscription is normally $325, but on sale now for only $300 for a 1-Year subscription. If ordered together with the Forecast 2024 Book , there will be two further 10% discounts making the cost of the report only $270 for a 1-Year Subscription! This is an exceptional report by a top MMTA graduate who is also the owner of a large family farm operation. Wyatt knows the farming business and grain markets from both a cyclical and fundamental point of view. This report is an in-depth look at long-and short-term cycles in Corn, Wheat, Soybeans. The MMA Monthly Grain Report just started in January 2023 and has been extremely accurate. If you trade grains or are in the farming business and need an accurate timing and understanding of when to hedge your crop, this report is not to be missed! To order, click here.
MMA offers discounts to our Forecast Fan Club Members and our Active Subscriber Club members. Check out our page on Forecast Club Levels to learn more about these discounts.
Note 5 : THE MMA WEEKLY YouTube show Geocosmic Week in Review and Look Ahead, with Gianni Di Poce, is now conducted on Wednesday evenings !. Each 5-15 minute FREE episode reviews the market activity of the past week and offers a preview of the geocosmic signatures in effect for the next week and beyond. You may subscribe to MMA's YouTube Channel today at no cost and get alerted when a new weekly episode is released! Tune in on Wednesday evenings to hear Gianni and his guests update financial markets on YouTube!
Note 6 : THE October-November ISSUE OF THE MMA Monthly Cycles Report Plus+, edited by Pouyan Zolfagharnia, was released last week. This market letter has become a very popular addition to the MMA Cycles Report (less technical, more visual with horoscopes of current importance, high-quality analysis and update on MMA Cycles Report markets). The mid-month addendum to the MMA Cycles report has stunning graphics and charts (people love it!) and is very readable. It contains more illustrations and references to geocosmics than most MMA Cycles reports and is only available for subscription to those who also subscribe to the MMA Monthly Cycles Report. If you wish to try this month's addendum, along with the latest issue of the MMA Monthly Cycles Report, sign up online at the link above. The cost for a monthly copy of both reports is $55. That will give you both the most recent June copy of the MMA Cycles Report and the monthly MMA Cycles Report Plus+ addendum coming out this week. Sign up now and save big bucks! For further information and ordering instructions, please click here.
Note 7 :
The MMA Monthly ETF Report by Gianni Di Poce
was released last week.
Many have asked about a monthly report on Bitcoin, and the Monthly ETF Report does this via BITO, the ETF on Bitcoin. Written by MMA market analyst Gianni Di Poce, the ETF is a monthly newsletter that everyone trading ETFs is encouraged to read, especially those that seek less risky trading venues than futures. This report covers 8 ETFs on a monthly basis for readers. The ETFs include : SPY (S&P 500), GDX (gold miners), BITO (Bitcoin), TLT (+20-year Treasuries), USO (Crude Oil), XLV (healthcare), XLK (technology), and XHB (homebuilders). This is a report that was requested by popular demand and Gianni's insights and strategies are excellent. For further information, click here.
Note 8 : THE MONTHLY MMA CHINESE SHANGHAI STOCK MARKET (SSE) REPORT was issued last week. It looks like the SSE has completed its 5.5-year cycle low earlier this year with its lowest price since January 2019. And as of last week, SSE has soared nearly 17% in the past month. For information on subscribing to this report and the ETF that follows it, click here.
Note 9 : MMA'S FREE WEEKLY COLUMN IS NOW ON SPOTIFY, APPLE, AND AMAZON PODCAST! Now you can listen to a podcast of this weekly column by Thomas Miller on Saturdays ! Just follow Merriman Market Analyst on Spotify or Apple to listen to all our episodes. New Podcast episodes will be released every weekend. This is a FREE service and is available to everyone. Checkout out our Podcasts on Apple, Spotify, and Apple Music. It makes for great listening!.
Note 10 : The MMA Solar-Lunar App now offers reversal signals on the NASDAQ to all subscribers!
Now there will be four markets with daily weighted values provided, which includes DJIA, NASDAQ, Gold, and Silver.
This app is an ideal tool to have in your back pocket if you are a short-term swing trader looking for high-probability dates that identifies isolated lows and highs in the DJIA, Gold, or Silver markets. Since it was first three months ago, it has been uncannily accurate in identifying swing lows and highs in each market. It is available only on Apple products (iPhone and iPad) at this time, although we are getting close to developing it on Android phones too, maybe by the end of this year.
How does it work? Based on historical frequencies, the higher the weighted value, the greater the probability of a swing trade reversal for the next 1-7 trading days (usually 2-5 days). Built into the app are instructions for ideal setups and explanatory FAQs. It's pretty amazing!.
P.S. :The MMA Solar/Lunar App gives each market an average of one trade per week every five trading day. The Solar/Lunar App is designed for "swing trades" looking for 2-5% moves from isolated lows or highs. If you like active trading signals based on solar/lunar combinations, the MMA App is for you!.
To learn more about the MMA App, click here. To order the app, go to Apple's App store and type in Merriman Solar/Lunar Reversals.
Note 11 : The MMA Cycles Chinese Stock Market Report and MMA's monthly ETF report was issued last week. For subscription information, please click here and scroll down to these reports.
Our monthly MMA Cycles Report : The monthly edition of the MMA Montly Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports was released last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.
- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
One month trial subscriptions are available for this service for $35.00, which includes the current issue.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a one month trial basis for only $35.00, or save by ordering a 30-months or one year subscription.
MMA's annual Forecast Book : see above
Upcoming Events :
December 8, 2024 : Save the date!!! This will be on Sunday of our next three-star critical reversal date (CRD) zone. It will, therefore, be the next scheduled MMA Options Webinar with options veteran Derek Panaia and Ray Merriman. Registration details will be ready soon. Stay tuned !.
March 7-9, 2025 : Cosmic Patterns Inc. Presents its "Convergence 2025 Conference", Orlando, Florida. This will be one of the top astrological conference of 2025 and will include a track on "Research and Financial Markets". MMA Market Analysts Ray Merriman, Gianni Di Poce, Pouyan Zolfagharnia, Ulric Aspegren, and Wieke Held will be speaking, along with well-known Financial Astrologers Christeen Skinner of UK. There will also be a number of well-known professional astrologer speaking, including: Lynn Bell, Charlotte Benson, Oner Dosser, Pam Galagher, Demetra George, Aleksandar Imsiragic, Dr, Lea Imsiragic, Rick Levine, Darri Low Murphy, Anne Ortlee, Joni Patry, Kathy Rose, Gisele Terry, and Fei Cochrane (and others). For further information, please go to https://cosmicpatternsconference.com/ or click here. You can hear and read about this exciting gathering on Instagram (click here), Facebook (click here), or YouTube (click here). This will be the premier astrology conference of 2025 with a dynamic track on Financial Astrology. Looking forward to seeing many of you there!.
I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.
To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.
It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the ..Save Our Swiss G...Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!
The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.
The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader, is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to whento expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!
Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to forecast the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will often cite what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author's understanding of how these signatures may affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from the perspective of a cycles analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand the psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and their potential effect on financial markets.
No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.
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